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Canada

Papineau



Latest projection: January 19, 2025
LPC leaning
Papineau 33% ± 8% LPC 29% ± 7% NDP 18% ± 5%▼ BQ 12% ± 5% CPC 6% ± 4% GPC LPC 2021 50.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 19, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Papineau 79% LPC 21% NDP <1% BQ Odds of winning | January 19, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Recent electoral history | Papineau



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 51.1% 50.3% 33% ± 8% NDP 19.2% 22.7% 29% ± 7% BQ 16.0% 15.0% 18% ± 5% CPC 4.2% 4.8% 12% ± 5% GPC 7.4% 3.2% 6% ± 4% PPC 0.6% 2.3% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.