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Canada

Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon



Latest projection: April 17, 2025
BQ leaning

Candidates | Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon


Liberal Miguel Perras
Conservative Priska St-Pierre
NDP Tyler Jones
Green Kristian Solarik
Bloc Quebecois Claude DeBellefeuille*
PPC Martin Levesque

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon 41% ± 7% BQ 36% ± 7% LPC 15% ± 5%▼ CPC 5% ± 3%▲ NDP BQ 2021 48.3% 338Canada vote projection | April 17, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon 83%▲ BQ 17%▼ LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | April 17, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon

LPC 36% ± 7% CPC 15% ± 5% NDP 5% ± 3% BQ 41% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP BQ April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 BQ 46% LPC 26% CPC 17% NDP 7% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 46% LPC 27% CPC 16% NDP 6% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 44% LPC 29% CPC 16% NDP 6% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 44% LPC 29% CPC 16% NDP 6% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 44% LPC 29% CPC 16% NDP 6% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 44% LPC 29% CPC 16% NDP 6% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 45% LPC 29% CPC 16% NDP 6% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 45% LPC 29% CPC 16% NDP 6% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 43% LPC 32% CPC 15% NDP 5% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 43% LPC 32% CPC 15% NDP 5% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 42% LPC 33% CPC 15% NDP 5% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 42% LPC 33% CPC 16% NDP 5% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 41% LPC 34% CPC 16% NDP 5% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 BQ 40% LPC 34% CPC 16% NDP 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 41% LPC 34% CPC 16% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 BQ 40% LPC 35% CPC 16% NDP 4% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 BQ 40% LPC 36% CPC 16% NDP 4% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 BQ 39% LPC 36% CPC 16% NDP 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 BQ 40% LPC 36% CPC 16% NDP 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 BQ 40% LPC 36% CPC 16% NDP 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 BQ 40% LPC 37% CPC 16% NDP 4% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 BQ 39% LPC 37% CPC 16% NDP 4% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 BQ 40% LPC 37% CPC 15% NDP 4% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 BQ 41% LPC 36% CPC 15% NDP 4% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 BQ 41% LPC 37% CPC 15% NDP 4% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 BQ 41% LPC 37% CPC 15% NDP 4% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 BQ 41% LPC 37% CPC 15% NDP 4% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 BQ 41% LPC 36% CPC 16% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 41% LPC 36% CPC 16% NDP 5% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 BQ 41% LPC 36% CPC 16% NDP 5% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 BQ 41% LPC 36% CPC 16% NDP 4% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 BQ 41% LPC 36% CPC 15% NDP 5% 2025-04-17 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon

LPC 17% NDP <1% BQ 83% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP BQ April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 BQ 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 BQ 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 BQ 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 BQ 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 BQ 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 BQ 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 BQ 71% LPC 29% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 BQ 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 BQ 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 BQ 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 BQ 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 BQ 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 BQ 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 BQ 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 BQ 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 BQ 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 BQ 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Beauharnois—Salaberry—Soulanges—Huntingdon



2019 2021 Proj. BQ 48.3% 48.3% 41% ± 7% LPC 29.5% 27.3% 36% ± 7% CPC 9.3% 11.8% 15% ± 5% NDP 8.1% 7.4% 5% ± 3% PPC 1.2% 3.3% 2% ± 3% GPC 3.2% 0.2% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.