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Canada


Beauce (federal)


MP: Richard Lehoux (CPC)


Latest projection: March 17, 2024

CPC safe hold
Beauce 67% ± 7% 13% ± 5% 9% ± 5% 6% ± 3% 3% ± 2% CPC 2021 48.34% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Beauce >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | March 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Beauce

LPC 6% ± 3% CPC 67% ± 7% BQ 13% ± 5% PPC 9% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Beauce 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC BQ PPC

Odds of winning | Beauce

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Beauce



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 58.9% 38.5% 48.34% 67% ± 7% PPC 0.0% 28.3% 18.2% 9% ± 5% BQ 7.4% 14.2% 15.14% 13% ± 5% LPC 22.3% 11.7% 12.3% 6% ± 3% NDP 9.7% 3.1% 2.88% 3% ± 2% GPC 1.7% 2.5% 0.85% 2% ± 2%