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Recent electoral history | Fundy Royal


2019 2021 2025 Projection CPC 47% ± 7% 44.4% 46.3% 53.4% LPC 42% ± 7% 25.4% 25.6% 40.1% NDP 5% ± 3% 10.1% 14.5% 3.2% GPC 3% ± 3% 16.1% 5.0% 2.0% PPC 1% ± 2% 2.8% 8.6% 1.3%

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338Canada Fundy Royal projection

Latest update: March 8, 2026

Fundy Royal 40% 55% 47% ± 7% CPC 35% 50% 42% ± 7% LPC 1% 8% 5% ± 3% NDP 0% 6% 3% ± 3% GPC CPC 2025 53.4% 338Canada vote projection | March 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Fundy Royal 79%▼ CPC 21%▲ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Fundy Royal

LPC 42% ± 7% CPC 47% ± 7% NDP 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Fundy Royal 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC March 8, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 52% LPC 38% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 52% LPC 38% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 51% LPC 40% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 54% LPC 40% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 54% LPC 40% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 54% LPC 40% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 53% LPC 40% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 53% LPC 40% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 53% LPC 41% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 51% LPC 42% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 3% GPC 2% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 50% LPC 42% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 50% LPC 42% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 49% LPC 43% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 51% LPC 42% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 50% LPC 42% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 51% LPC 41% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 50% LPC 42% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 50% LPC 42% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 49% LPC 42% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 49% LPC 42% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 49% LPC 42% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 49% LPC 42% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 49% LPC 42% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 49% LPC 42% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 49% LPC 42% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 49% LPC 41% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 49% LPC 41% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 49% LPC 41% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 50% LPC 40% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 51% LPC 39% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 50% LPC 40% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 51% LPC 37% NDP 6% GPC 4% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 51% LPC 37% NDP 6% GPC 4% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 52% LPC 36% NDP 6% GPC 4% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 51% LPC 36% NDP 6% GPC 4% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC 51% LPC 37% NDP 7% GPC 4% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 50% LPC 39% NDP 6% GPC 4% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 CPC 49% LPC 40% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 CPC 49% LPC 40% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 CPC 49% LPC 41% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 CPC 48% LPC 42% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2026-03-01 2026-03-08 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2026-03-08

Odds of winning | Fundy Royal

LPC 21% CPC 79% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP March 8, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 CPC 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2026-03-01 2026-03-08 CPC 79% LPC 21% NDP <1% 2026-03-08


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Demographic data | Fundy Royal

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 97.1% English 1.8% French 0.1% Punjabi 0.1% Korean 0.1% Russian 0.1% Arabic 0.1% PortugueseFundy RoyalSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 8.0% No diploma 33.1% High school 8.7% Trade 30.4% College / Cégep 1.6% Some university 13.7% Bachelor's 4.6% PostgraduateFundy RoyalSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 96.9% Not visible minority 3.1% Visible minority 0.9% Black 0.9% South Asian 0.3% Filipino 0.2% Korean 0.2% Latin American 0.2% Southeast AsianFundy RoyalSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 37.4% No Religion 18.7% Catholic 13.3% Baptist 7.8% Anglican 7.2% United Church 6.8% Christian (n.o.s.) 2.7% Other Christian 1.9% PentecostalFundy RoyalSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 84.0% Owner 16.0% RenterFundy RoyalSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 55.0% Employed 39.3% Not in labour force 5.7% UnemployedFundy RoyalSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 97.7% Non-Indigenous 2.3% Indigenous identity 1.4% First Nations 0.8% Metis 0.1% Others 0.1% InukFundy RoyalSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 93.8% Car / truck / van 3.1% Walking 2.1% Other 0.7% Public transit 0.3% BicycleFundy RoyalSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.