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Canada

Fundy Royal


MP elect: Rob Moore (CPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
CPC likely

Candidates | Fundy Royal


Liberal William Kudla
Conservative Rob Moore*
NDP Cindy Andrie
Green Hans Johnsen
PPC Alastair MacFarlane

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Fundy Royal 53% ± 7%▼ CPC 40% ± 7% LPC 3% ± 2% NDP CPC 2025 53.4% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Fundy Royal 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Fundy Royal

LPC 40% ± 7% CPC 53% ± 7% NDP 3% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Fundy Royal 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 61% LPC 16% NDP 14% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 60% LPC 16% NDP 14% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 60% LPC 16% NDP 14% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 59% LPC 17% NDP 14% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 57% LPC 19% NDP 13% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 55% LPC 22% NDP 12% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 54% LPC 24% NDP 12% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 50% LPC 27% NDP 12% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 49% LPC 28% NDP 12% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 47% LPC 31% NDP 11% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 47% LPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 46% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 46% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 46% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 46% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 46% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 44% LPC 40% NDP 7% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 44% LPC 40% NDP 7% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 44% LPC 40% NDP 7% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 45% LPC 40% NDP 7% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 6% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 48% LPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 49% LPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 49% LPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 50% LPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 50% LPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 50% LPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 49% LPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 49% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 49% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 49% LPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 49% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 49% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 49% LPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 50% LPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 50% LPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 50% LPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 50% LPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 49% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 49% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 49% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 50% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 49% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 50% LPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 51% LPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 52% LPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 52% LPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 52% LPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 52% LPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 51% LPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 54% LPC 40% NDP 3% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 54% LPC 40% NDP 3% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 54% LPC 40% NDP 3% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 53% LPC 40% NDP 3% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Fundy Royal

LPC 1% CPC 99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Fundy Royal



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 53% ± 7% 44.4% 46.3% 53.4% LPC 40% ± 7% 25.4% 25.6% 40.1% NDP 3% ± 2% 10.1% 14.5% 3.2% GPC 2% ± 2% 16.1% 5.0% 2.0% PPC 1% ± 1% 2.8% 8.6% 1.3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.