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Canada


St. John’s South–Mount Pearl (federal)


MP: Seamus O’Regan (LPC)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

LPC safe hold
St. John’s South–Mount Pearl 52% ± 8% LPC 26% ± 7% NDP 21% ± 6% CPC LPC 2021 56.15% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% St. John’s South–Mount Pearl >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | St. John’s South–Mount Pearl

LPC 52% ± 8% CPC 21% ± 6% NDP 26% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | St. John’s South–Mount Pearl 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | St. John’s South–Mount Pearl

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | St. John’s South–Mount Pearl



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 57.9% 51.1% 56.15% 52% ± 8% NDP 36.8% 26.8% 23.3% 26% ± 7% CPC 4.6% 19.1% 18.72% 21% ± 6% PPC 0.0% 0.8% 1.82% 1% ± 2% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0% GPC 0.8% 1.8% 0.0% 1% ± 1%