338Canada | St. John’s South–Mount Pearl (Newfoundland and Labrador federal district)




10007 - St. John’s South–Mount Pearl

Province: Newfoundland and Labrador
Population (2016): 81,980 residents
Population density: 194 pop./km² (rank: 184 of 338)
Median household income: $70 457 (rank: 166 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Seamus O’Regan (LPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | St. John’s South–Mount Pearl


Seamus O'Regan
Steve Hodder
Ray Critch
Georgina Faith Stewart





Federal vote projection | St. John’s South–Mount Pearl

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | St. John’s South–Mount Pearl

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of St. John’s South–Mount Pearl



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | St. John’s South–Mount Pearl



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


St. John’s South–Mount Pearl


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
41.6% ± 9.3% 51.1% Outside confidence interval
33.4% ± 9.1% 26.8% Within confidence interval
18.3% ± 6.2% 19.1% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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