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Canada

Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations


MP elect: Larry Brock (CPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
CPC likely

Candidates | Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations


Liberal Joy O'Donnell
Conservative Larry Brock*
NDP Anne Gajerski-Cauley
Green Karleigh Csordas
PPC Nicholas Xenos
Independent Leslie Bory
Independent Mike Clancy
Independent Clo Marie

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations 52% ± 6%▼ CPC 41% ± 6% LPC 4% ± 2% NDP CPC 2025 52.4% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations 98%▼ CPC 2%▲ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations

LPC 41% ± 6% CPC 52% ± 6% NDP 4% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 56% NDP 21% LPC 13% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 55% NDP 20% LPC 14% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 55% NDP 20% LPC 15% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 52% NDP 19% LPC 18% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 51% LPC 20% NDP 18% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 51% LPC 23% NDP 16% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 50% LPC 25% NDP 14% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 50% LPC 26% NDP 14% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 51% LPC 26% NDP 14% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 50% LPC 27% NDP 13% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 49% LPC 30% NDP 12% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 48% LPC 30% NDP 12% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 48% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 48% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 48% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 48% LPC 33% NDP 10% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 10% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 48% LPC 34% NDP 10% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 48% LPC 35% NDP 9% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 48% LPC 35% NDP 9% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 48% LPC 35% NDP 9% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 49% LPC 35% NDP 8% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 50% LPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 50% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 49% LPC 38% NDP 8% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 50% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 50% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 53% LPC 41% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 53% LPC 41% NDP 4% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 53% LPC 41% NDP 4% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 52% LPC 41% NDP 4% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations

LPC 2% CPC 98% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 52% ± 6% 40.4% 40.1% 52.4% LPC 41% ± 6% 30.2% 27.7% 41.1% NDP 4% ± 2% 20.3% 20.3% 3.7% GPC 2% ± 1% 5.9% 2.6% 1.7% PPC 1% ± 1% 2.1% 8.8% 0.6% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.