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Canada


Burlington (federal)


MP: Karina Gould (LPC)


Latest projection: April 14, 2024

CPC likely gain
Burlington 47% ± 7% 35% ± 6%▲ 11% ± 4% 5% ± 4% LPC 2021 45.66% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 14, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Burlington 99% 1% <1% Odds of winning | April 14, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Burlington

LPC 35% ± 6% CPC 47% ± 7% NDP 11% ± 4% GPC 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Burlington 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Burlington

LPC 1% CPC 99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Burlington



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 46.0% 48.6% 45.66% 35% ± 6% CPC 42.5% 33.2% 37.34% 47% ± 7% NDP 9.1% 10.2% 10.85% 11% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.3% 3.99% 2% ± 2% GPC 2.4% 6.6% 1.98% 5% ± 4%