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Canada


Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations


Latest projection: April 21, 2024
CPC safe hold
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations 53% ± 8%▲ 20% ± 6%▲ 18% ± 5%▼ 5% ± 4% 4% ± 4%▲ CPC 2021 40.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 21, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations >99%▲ <1% <1%▼ Odds of winning | April 21, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations

LPC 18% ± 5% CPC 53% ± 8% NDP 20% ± 6% GPC 5% ± 4% PPC 4% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC

Odds of winning | Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP

Recent electoral history | Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 40.4% 40.3% 53% ± 8% LPC 30.2% 27.6% 18% ± 5% NDP 20.3% 20.2% 20% ± 6% PPC 2.1% 8.8% 4% ± 4% GPC 5.9% 2.6% 5% ± 4%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.