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Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations



Latest projection: April 17, 2025
CPC likely

Candidates | Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations


Liberal Joy O'Donnell
Conservative Larry Brock*
NDP Anne Gajerski-Cauley
Green Karleigh Csordas
PPC Nicholas Xenos
Independent Leslie Bory
Independent Mike Clancy
Independent Clo Marie

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations 49% ± 8%▲ CPC 37% ± 8% LPC 8% ± 4% NDP 3% ± 3% PPC CPC 2021 40.1% 338Canada vote projection | April 17, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations 97%▲ CPC 3%▼ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 17, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations

LPC 37% ± 8% CPC 49% ± 8% NDP 8% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 51% LPC 26% NDP 14% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 50% LPC 27% NDP 13% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 49% LPC 30% NDP 12% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 48% LPC 30% NDP 12% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 48% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 48% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 48% LPC 31% NDP 12% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 48% LPC 33% NDP 10% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 10% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 48% LPC 34% NDP 10% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 48% LPC 35% NDP 9% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 48% LPC 35% NDP 9% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 48% LPC 35% NDP 9% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 49% LPC 35% NDP 8% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 50% LPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 50% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 49% LPC 38% NDP 8% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 50% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 50% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-04-17 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations

LPC 3% CPC 97% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Brantford—Brant South—Six Nations



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 40.4% 40.1% 49% ± 8% LPC 30.2% 27.7% 37% ± 8% NDP 20.3% 20.3% 8% ± 4% PPC 2.1% 8.8% 3% ± 3% GPC 5.9% 2.6% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.