logo
logo
Canada

La Pointe-de-l’Île


MP elect: Mario Beaulieu (BQ)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
BQ leaning

Candidates | La Pointe-de-l’Île


Liberal Viviane Minko
Conservative Violetta Potapova
NDP Ghada Chaabi
Green Olivier Huard
Bloc Quebecois Mario Beaulieu*
Marxist-Leninist Genevieve Royer

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


La Pointe-de-l’Île 43% ± 6% BQ 38% ± 6% LPC 13% ± 4% CPC 4% ± 2% NDP BQ 2025 43.1% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% La Pointe-de-l’Île 86%▼ BQ 14%▲ LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | La Pointe-de-l’Île

LPC 38% ± 6% CPC 13% ± 4% NDP 4% ± 2% BQ 43% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | La Pointe-de-l’Île 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ 54% LPC 16% NDP 12% CPC 12% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ 53% LPC 17% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ 53% LPC 17% CPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ 53% LPC 18% NDP 12% CPC 12% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 BQ 50% LPC 21% NDP 12% CPC 12% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 BQ 49% LPC 23% CPC 12% NDP 11% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 BQ 48% LPC 24% CPC 12% NDP 10% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 BQ 46% LPC 27% CPC 12% NDP 10% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 BQ 45% LPC 28% CPC 12% NDP 10% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 44% LPC 30% CPC 12% NDP 9% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 43% LPC 32% CPC 11% NDP 8% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 43% LPC 32% CPC 11% NDP 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 43% LPC 32% CPC 11% NDP 8% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 43% LPC 32% CPC 11% NDP 8% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 43% LPC 32% CPC 11% NDP 8% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 43% LPC 32% CPC 11% NDP 8% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 42% LPC 35% CPC 11% NDP 7% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 42% LPC 35% CPC 11% NDP 7% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 41% LPC 36% CPC 11% NDP 7% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 40% LPC 37% CPC 11% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 39% LPC 37% CPC 11% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 BQ 39% LPC 38% CPC 11% NDP 6% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 39% LPC 38% CPC 11% NDP 6% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 BQ 39% LPC 39% CPC 11% NDP 6% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 39% BQ 38% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 40% BQ 38% CPC 11% NDP 6% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 40% BQ 39% CPC 11% NDP 6% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 40% BQ 38% CPC 11% NDP 6% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 40% BQ 39% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 40% BQ 38% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 40% BQ 39% CPC 11% NDP 6% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 BQ 39% LPC 39% CPC 11% NDP 6% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 40% BQ 40% CPC 11% NDP 6% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 40% BQ 39% CPC 11% NDP 6% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 40% BQ 40% CPC 11% NDP 6% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 39% BQ 39% CPC 11% NDP 6% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 40% LPC 39% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 BQ 39% LPC 39% CPC 11% NDP 6% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 BQ 41% LPC 38% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 BQ 41% LPC 37% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 BQ 42% LPC 37% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 BQ 42% LPC 37% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 BQ 42% LPC 37% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 BQ 42% LPC 37% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 BQ 43% LPC 36% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 BQ 42% LPC 36% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 BQ 43% LPC 35% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 BQ 43% LPC 35% CPC 12% NDP 6% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 BQ 43% LPC 35% CPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 43% LPC 35% CPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 42% LPC 36% CPC 13% NDP 6% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ 43% LPC 38% CPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 BQ 43% LPC 38% CPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 BQ 43% LPC 38% CPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 BQ 43% LPC 38% CPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | La Pointe-de-l’Île

LPC 14% CPC <1% NDP <1% BQ 86% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 79% LPC 21% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 64% LPC 36% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 BQ 60% LPC 40% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 62% LPC 38% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 BQ 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 57% BQ 43% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 65% BQ 35% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 57% BQ 43% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 60% BQ 40% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 56% BQ 44% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 60% BQ 40% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 55% BQ 45% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 BQ 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 54% BQ 46% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 53% BQ 47% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 50% BQ 50% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 BQ 50% LPC 50% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 BQ 50% LPC 50% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 BQ 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 BQ 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 BQ 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 BQ 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 BQ 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 BQ 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 BQ 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 BQ 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 BQ 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 BQ 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 BQ 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 BQ 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 BQ 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 BQ 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | La Pointe-de-l’Île



2019 2021 2025 Proj. BQ 43% ± 6% 46.8% 46.7% 43.1% LPC 38% ± 6% 30.4% 32.3% 37.7% CPC 13% ± 4% 7.2% 6.7% 12.7% NDP 4% ± 2% 10.9% 9.7% 4.3% GPC 2% ± 2% 3.4% 0.0% 1.8% IND 0% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% PPC 0% ± 0% 0.7% 2.7% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.