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Recent electoral history | La Pointe-de-l’Île


2019 2021 2025 Projection BQ 46% ± 7% 46.8% 46.7% 43.1% LPC 31% ± 7% 30.4% 32.3% 37.7% CPC 11% ± 4% 7.2% 6.7% 12.7% NDP 7% ± 4% 10.9% 9.7% 4.3% GPC 4% ± 3% 3.4% 0.0% 1.8%

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338Canada La Pointe-de-l’Île projection

Latest update: January 25, 2026

La Pointe-de-l’Île 39% 54% 46% ± 7% BQ 25% 38% 31% ± 7% LPC 7% 15% 11% ± 4% CPC 3% 10% 7% ± 4% NDP 0% 7% 4% ± 3% GPC BQ 2025 43.1% 338Canada vote projection | January 25, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% La Pointe-de-l’Île 99% BQ 1% LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | January 25, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | La Pointe-de-l’Île

LPC 31% ± 7% CPC 11% ± 4% NDP 7% ± 4% GPC 4% ± 3% BQ 46% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | La Pointe-de-l’Île 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ PPC IND January 25, 2026 2025-04-26 BQ 43% LPC 35% CPC 13% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 43% LPC 35% CPC 13% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 42% LPC 36% CPC 13% NDP 6% GPC 2% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ 43% LPC 38% CPC 13% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 BQ 43% LPC 38% CPC 13% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 BQ 43% LPC 38% CPC 13% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 BQ 43% LPC 38% CPC 13% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 BQ 43% LPC 38% CPC 13% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 BQ 43% LPC 38% CPC 13% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 BQ 44% LPC 37% CPC 12% NDP 4% GPC 2% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 BQ 43% LPC 38% CPC 12% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 BQ 42% LPC 39% CPC 12% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 BQ 41% LPC 41% CPC 11% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 41% BQ 40% CPC 11% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 41% BQ 40% CPC 11% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 41% BQ 41% CPC 11% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 41% BQ 40% CPC 11% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 BQ 41% LPC 40% CPC 11% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 BQ 42% LPC 39% CPC 11% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 BQ 42% LPC 39% CPC 11% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 BQ 43% LPC 38% CPC 11% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 BQ 44% LPC 37% CPC 11% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 BQ 43% LPC 37% CPC 11% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 BQ 43% LPC 37% CPC 12% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 BQ 43% LPC 36% CPC 12% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 BQ 43% LPC 36% CPC 12% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 BQ 44% LPC 35% CPC 12% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 BQ 45% LPC 35% CPC 12% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 BQ 45% LPC 35% CPC 12% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 BQ 45% LPC 35% CPC 12% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 BQ 44% LPC 35% CPC 12% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 BQ 44% LPC 35% CPC 13% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 BQ 45% LPC 35% CPC 12% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 BQ 45% LPC 35% CPC 12% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 BQ 46% LPC 34% CPC 11% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 BQ 46% LPC 34% CPC 12% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 BQ 47% LPC 33% CPC 12% NDP 5% GPC 2% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 BQ 46% LPC 32% CPC 11% NDP 7% GPC 3% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 BQ 46% LPC 32% CPC 11% NDP 7% GPC 3% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 BQ 46% LPC 32% CPC 11% NDP 7% GPC 4% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 BQ 46% LPC 32% CPC 11% NDP 7% GPC 4% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 BQ 46% LPC 31% CPC 11% NDP 7% GPC 4% 2026-01-25

Odds of winning | La Pointe-de-l’Île

LPC 1% CPC <1% NDP <1% BQ 99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ January 25, 2026 2025-04-26 BQ 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 BQ 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 BQ 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 BQ 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 BQ 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 BQ 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 BQ 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 BQ 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 BQ 66% LPC 34% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 BQ 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 56% BQ 44% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 59% BQ 41% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 52% BQ 48% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 57% BQ 43% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 BQ 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 BQ 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 BQ 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 BQ 79% LPC 21% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 BQ 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 BQ 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 BQ 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 BQ 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 BQ 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 BQ 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 BQ 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 BQ 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 BQ 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 BQ 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 BQ 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 BQ 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 BQ 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 BQ 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 BQ 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-25


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Demographic data | La Pointe-de-l’Île

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 87.3% French 3.9% English 2.9% Spanish 1.1% Arabic 1.0% Creole 0.5% Berber 0.5% MandarinLa Pointe-de-l’ÎleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 14.1% No diploma 19.3% High school 19.3% Trade 17.9% College / Cégep 4.8% Some university 15.7% Bachelor's 8.8% PostgraduateLa Pointe-de-l’ÎleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 75.1% Not visible minority 24.8% Visible minority 12.5% Black 4.2% Latin American 4.0% Arab 1.4% Southeast Asian 1.2% Chinese 0.6% South AsianLa Pointe-de-l’ÎleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 50.9% Catholic 29.0% No Religion 7.2% Muslim 6.5% Christian (n.o.s.) 1.8% Other Christian 0.9% Buddhist 0.9% Pentecostal 0.8% OrthodoxLa Pointe-de-l’ÎleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 51.0% Renter 49.0% OwnerLa Pointe-de-l’ÎleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 58.1% Employed 36.4% Not in labour force 5.5% UnemployedLa Pointe-de-l’ÎleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 98.5% Non-Indigenous 1.5% Indigenous identity 0.8% First Nations 0.6% Metis 0.1% OthersLa Pointe-de-l’ÎleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 69.1% Car / truck / van 23.8% Public transit 4.6% Walking 1.3% Other 1.2% BicycleLa Pointe-de-l’ÎleSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.