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Canada

La Pointe-de-l’Île


Latest projection: July 21, 2024
BQ safe
La Pointe-de-l’Île 51% ± 8% BQ 21% ± 6% LPC 11% ± 5% NDP 11% ± 4% CPC BQ 2021 46.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | July 21, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% La Pointe-de-l’Île >99% BQ <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | July 21, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | La Pointe-de-l’Île

LPC 21% ± 6% CPC 11% ± 4% NDP 11% ± 5% BQ 51% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | La Pointe-de-l’Île 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ July 21, 2024 2024-05-12 BQ 53% LPC 22% CPC 10% NDP 10% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 BQ 54% LPC 21% NDP 10% CPC 9% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 BQ 53% LPC 23% NDP 10% CPC 9% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 BQ 51% LPC 23% NDP 10% CPC 10% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 BQ 50% LPC 24% NDP 10% CPC 10% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 BQ 49% LPC 24% CPC 10% NDP 10% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 BQ 51% LPC 21% CPC 11% NDP 11% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 BQ 51% LPC 20% NDP 11% CPC 11% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 BQ 51% LPC 20% NDP 11% CPC 11% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 BQ 51% LPC 21% NDP 11% CPC 11% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 BQ 51% LPC 21% NDP 11% CPC 11% 2024-07-21

Odds of winning | La Pointe-de-l’Île

LPC <1% NDP <1% BQ >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC NDP BQ July 21, 2024 2024-05-12 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-21

Recent electoral history | La Pointe-de-l’Île



2019 2021 Proj. BQ 46.8% 46.7% 51% ± 8% LPC 30.4% 32.3% 21% ± 6% NDP 10.9% 9.7% 11% ± 5% CPC 7.2% 6.7% 11% ± 4% PPC 0.7% 2.7% 2% ± 2% GPC 3.4% 0.0% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.