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Canada


Joliette (federal)


MP: Gabriel Ste-Marie (BQ)


Latest projection: February 25, 2024

BQ safe hold
Joliette 56% ± 8% 15% ± 5%▼ 15% ± 5%▲ 7% ± 3% 5% ± 4% BQ 2021 55.01% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 25, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Joliette >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | February 25, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Joliette

LPC 15% ± 5% CPC 15% ± 5% NDP 7% ± 3% GPC 5% ± 4% BQ 56% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Joliette 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Odds of winning | Joliette

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% BQ >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Recent electoral history | Joliette



2015 2019 2021 Proj. BQ 33.3% 58.2% 55.01% 56% ± 8% LPC 28.2% 22.5% 22.65% 15% ± 5% CPC 10.1% 9.0% 9.46% 15% ± 5% NDP 25.7% 4.5% 5.52% 7% ± 3% PPC 0.0% 0.9% 3.15% 2% ± 2% GPC 2.4% 4.1% 2.0% 5% ± 4%