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Canada


La Pointe-de-l’Île


Latest projection: June 9, 2024
BQ safe
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
La Pointe-de-l’Île 50% ± 8%▼ BQ 24% ± 6%▲ LPC 10% ± 4% NDP 10% ± 4% CPC BQ 2021 46.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% La Pointe-de-l’Île >99% BQ <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | June 9, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | La Pointe-de-l’Île

LPC 24% ± 6% CPC 10% ± 4% NDP 10% ± 4% BQ 50% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | La Pointe-de-l’Île 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ June 9, 2024

Odds of winning | La Pointe-de-l’Île

LPC <1% NDP <1% BQ >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC NDP BQ June 9, 2024

Recent electoral history | La Pointe-de-l’Île



2019 2021 Proj. BQ 46.8% 46.7% 50% ± 8% LPC 30.4% 32.3% 24% ± 6% NDP 10.9% 9.7% 10% ± 4% CPC 7.2% 6.7% 10% ± 4% PPC 0.7% 2.7% 1% ± 2% GPC 3.4% 0.0% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.