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Canada


Hamilton Centre (federal)


MP: Matthew Green (NDP)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

NDP safe hold
Hamilton Centre 51% ± 8% NDP 23% ± 6% LPC 17% ± 5% CPC 6% ± 4% GPC 4% ± 3% PPC NDP 2021 48.39% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Hamilton Centre >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Hamilton Centre

LPC 23% ± 6% CPC 17% ± 5% NDP 51% ± 8% GPC 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Hamilton Centre 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Hamilton Centre

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP >99% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Hamilton Centre



2015 2019 2021 Proj. NDP 45.6% 46.2% 48.39% 51% ± 8% LPC 33.4% 28.7% 26.46% 23% ± 6% CPC 14.6% 14.4% 15.18% 17% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 1.9% 6.5% 4% ± 3% GPC 4.3% 7.6% 2.71% 6% ± 4% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%