338Canada | Hamilton Centre (Ontario federal district)




35035 - Hamilton Centre

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 100,105 residents
Population density: 3313 pop./km² (rank: 44 of 338)
Median household income: $43 717 (rank: 336 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Matthew Green (NDP)



Latest projection (August 1, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Hamilton Centre

Last update: August 1, 2021








Odds of winning | Hamilton Centre

Last update: August 1, 2021







Electoral history of Hamilton Centre



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Map of Hamilton Centre




(Credits: Elections Canada)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Hamilton Centre



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Hamilton Centre


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
44.9% ± 9.7% 46.2% Within confidence interval
29.8% ± 8.2% 28.7% Within confidence interval
13.7% ± 5.1% 14.4% Within confidence interval
9.9% ± 4.2% 7.6% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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