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Canada


Dartmouth–Cole Harbour (federal)


MP: Darren Fisher (LPC)


Latest projection: September 24, 2023

LPC leaning hold
Dartmouth–Cole Harbour 37% ± 7% 31% ± 7% 20% ± 5%▼ 6% ± 5% 5% ± 4% LPC 2021 52.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 24, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Dartmouth–Cole Harbour 85%▼ 15%▲ <1% Odds of winning | September 24, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Dartmouth–Cole Harbour

LPC 37% ± 7% CPC 20% ± 5% NDP 31% ± 7% GPC 5% ± 4% PPC 6% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Dartmouth–Cole Harbour 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC

Odds of winning | Dartmouth–Cole Harbour

LPC 85% CPC <1% NDP 15% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Dartmouth–Cole Harbour



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 58.2% 45.3% 52.8% 37% ± 7% NDP 24.4% 27.0% 33.35% 31% ± 7% PPC 0.0% 1.7% 10.49% 6% ± 5% GPC 3.4% 9.9% 3.37% 5% ± 4% CPC 14.0% 16.1% 0.0% 20% ± 5%