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Canada

Compton—Stanstead


MP elect: Marianne Dandurand (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Compton—Stanstead


Liberal Marianne Dandurand
Conservative Jacques Painchaud
NDP Valerie Laliberte
Green Sebastien Tremblay
Bloc Quebecois Nathalie Bresse
PPC Paul Lehmann

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Compton—Stanstead 46% ± 6% LPC 26% ± 5% BQ 22% ± 5% CPC 3% ± 2% NDP LPC 2025 45.6% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Compton—Stanstead >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% CPC Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Compton—Stanstead

LPC 46% ± 6% CPC 22% ± 5% NDP 3% ± 2% BQ 26% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Compton—Stanstead 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ 36% CPC 24% LPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ 36% CPC 24% LPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ 35% CPC 24% LPC 24% NDP 9% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ 35% LPC 25% CPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 BQ 33% LPC 28% CPC 23% NDP 8% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 BQ 32% LPC 31% CPC 23% NDP 7% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 32% BQ 31% CPC 22% NDP 7% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 35% BQ 29% CPC 22% NDP 6% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 36% BQ 28% CPC 22% NDP 6% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 37% BQ 27% CPC 21% NDP 6% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 39% BQ 26% CPC 21% NDP 6% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 40% BQ 26% CPC 21% NDP 6% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 40% BQ 26% CPC 21% NDP 6% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 40% BQ 26% CPC 21% NDP 6% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 40% BQ 26% CPC 20% NDP 5% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 40% BQ 27% CPC 20% NDP 5% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 42% BQ 26% CPC 19% NDP 5% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 43% BQ 25% CPC 19% NDP 5% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 43% BQ 25% CPC 20% NDP 4% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 44% BQ 24% CPC 20% NDP 4% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 44% BQ 24% CPC 20% NDP 4% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 45% BQ 23% CPC 20% NDP 4% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 45% BQ 23% CPC 20% NDP 4% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 47% BQ 21% CPC 21% NDP 4% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 48% CPC 21% BQ 21% NDP 4% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 49% CPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 49% CPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 49% CPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 49% CPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 4% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 50% CPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 4% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 50% BQ 20% CPC 20% NDP 4% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 50% BQ 20% CPC 20% NDP 4% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 51% BQ 20% CPC 20% NDP 4% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 50% CPC 20% BQ 20% NDP 4% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 50% CPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 4% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 50% CPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 4% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 49% CPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 4% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 50% CPC 21% BQ 19% NDP 4% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 50% CPC 21% BQ 19% NDP 4% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 50% CPC 21% BQ 19% NDP 4% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 50% CPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 4% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 50% CPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 4% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 49% CPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 4% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 48% CPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 4% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 48% CPC 21% BQ 21% NDP 4% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 48% CPC 22% BQ 20% NDP 4% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 47% CPC 23% BQ 21% NDP 4% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 46% CPC 23% BQ 21% NDP 4% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 46% CPC 23% BQ 20% NDP 4% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 46% CPC 23% BQ 21% NDP 4% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 47% CPC 23% BQ 20% NDP 4% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 46% BQ 26% CPC 22% NDP 3% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 46% BQ 26% CPC 22% NDP 3% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 46% BQ 26% CPC 22% NDP 3% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 46% BQ 26% CPC 22% NDP 3% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Compton—Stanstead

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 1% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 1% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 2% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 19% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 39% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 62% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 88% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 93% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 97% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Compton—Stanstead



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 46% ± 6% 37.1% 36.7% 45.6% BQ 26% ± 5% 31.7% 30.5% 26.4% CPC 22% ± 5% 14.5% 17.4% 21.8% NDP 3% ± 2% 9.9% 7.5% 3.2% GPC 2% ± 1% 5.2% 2.8% 1.8% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.0% 3.8% 1.2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.