338Canada | Portage–Lisgar (Manitoba federal district)




46007 - Portage–Lisgar

Province: Manitoba
Population (2016): 97,355 residents
Population density: 7.78 pop./km² (rank: 275 of 338)
Median household income: $67 392 (rank: 195 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Candice Bergen (CPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Portage–Lisgar


Andrew Carrier
Candice Bergen
Ken Friesen
Solomon Wiebe
Jerome Dondo (CHP)





Federal vote projection | Portage–Lisgar

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Portage–Lisgar

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Portage–Lisgar



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Portage–Lisgar



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Portage–Lisgar


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
63.3% ± 8.4% 70.8% Within confidence interval
15.4% ± 5.6% 10.7% Within confidence interval
6.4% ± 3.3% 8.7% Within confidence interval
10.1% ± 4.3% 5.3% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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