338Canada | Fredericton (New Brunswick federal district)





13003 - Fredericton

Province: New Brunswick
Population (2016): 83,305 residents
Population density: 55.4 pop./km² (rank: 214 of 338)
Median household income: $65 186 (rank: 214 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Jenica Atwin (LPC)



Latest projection (January 16, 2022)

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Federal vote projection | Fredericton

Last update: January 16, 2022






Odds of winning | Fredericton

Last update: January 16, 2022









Electoral history of Fredericton



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Fredericton



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Fredericton


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Incorrect winner, but within confidence interval
33.2% ± 6.7% 37.0% Within confidence interval
33.5% ± 6.6% 35.9% Within confidence interval
22.2% ± 6.0% 12.9% Outside confidence interval
10.0% ± 4.1% 12.6% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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