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Saskatoon West



Latest projection: December 1, 2024
CPC likely
Saskatoon West 55% ± 9%▲ CPC 34% ± 8%▼ NDP 6% ± 4% LPC CPC 2021 45.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 1, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saskatoon West >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC Odds of winning | December 1, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Saskatoon West

LPC 6% ± 4% CPC 55% ± 9% NDP 34% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Saskatoon West 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 1, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 51% NDP 37% LPC 6% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 52% NDP 37% LPC 6% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 52% NDP 36% LPC 7% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 53% NDP 35% LPC 7% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 53% NDP 35% LPC 7% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 52% NDP 35% LPC 7% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 52% NDP 36% LPC 7% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 51% NDP 35% LPC 7% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 51% NDP 35% LPC 7% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 51% NDP 35% LPC 7% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 51% NDP 35% LPC 7% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 51% NDP 35% LPC 7% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 51% NDP 35% LPC 6% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 51% NDP 36% LPC 6% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 51% NDP 36% LPC 6% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 50% NDP 37% LPC 6% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 49% NDP 37% LPC 7% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 49% NDP 37% LPC 6% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 50% NDP 36% LPC 7% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 50% NDP 36% LPC 7% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 50% NDP 37% LPC 6% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 50% NDP 38% LPC 6% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 50% NDP 38% LPC 5% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 50% NDP 38% LPC 6% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 51% NDP 38% LPC 6% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 51% NDP 37% LPC 6% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 52% NDP 36% LPC 6% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 53% NDP 35% LPC 6% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC 54% NDP 35% LPC 6% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC 55% NDP 34% LPC 6% 2024-12-01

Odds of winning | Saskatoon West

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 1, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 98% NDP 2% LPC <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 98% NDP 2% LPC <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 98% NDP 2% LPC <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 96% NDP 4% LPC <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 94% NDP 6% LPC <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 95% NDP 5% LPC <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 97% NDP 3% LPC <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 98% NDP 2% LPC <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 97% NDP 3% LPC <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 95% NDP 5% LPC <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 95% NDP 5% LPC <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 96% NDP 4% LPC <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 97% NDP 3% LPC <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 97% NDP 3% LPC <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-12-01

Recent electoral history | Saskatoon West



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 47.7% 45.4% 55% ± 9% NDP 40.3% 39.3% 34% ± 8% LPC 7.3% 8.2% 6% ± 4% PPC 2.0% 6.1% 2% ± 3% GPC 2.7% 1.1% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.