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Canada


Saskatoon–University (federal)


MP: Corey Tochor (CPC)


Latest projection: October 1, 2023

CPC likely hold
Saskatoon–University 52% ± 8%▲ 36% ± 8%▼ 9% ± 4% CPC 2021 47.95% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 1, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Saskatoon–University 99%▲ 1%▼ <1% Odds of winning | October 1, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Saskatoon–University

LPC 9% ± 4% CPC 52% ± 8% NDP 36% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Saskatoon–University 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Saskatoon–University

LPC <1% CPC 99% NDP 1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Saskatoon–University



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 41.5% 52.1% 47.95% 52% ± 8% NDP 31.5% 29.8% 35.39% 36% ± 8% LPC 25.2% 13.1% 10.84% 9% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.4% 4.18% 2% ± 2% GPC 1.5% 3.0% 0.94% 2% ± 2%