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Canada


Calgary Confederation (federal)


MP: Len Webber (CPC)


Latest projection: April 14, 2024

CPC safe hold
Calgary Confederation 50% ± 7% 23% ± 5% 20% ± 5%▲ 6% ± 4% CPC 2021 45.95% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 14, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Calgary Confederation >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | April 14, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Calgary Confederation

LPC 23% ± 5% CPC 50% ± 7% NDP 20% ± 5% GPC 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Calgary Confederation 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Calgary Confederation

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Calgary Confederation



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 45.9% 55.1% 45.95% 50% ± 7% LPC 43.5% 22.6% 28.54% 23% ± 5% NDP 7.1% 11.1% 17.15% 20% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 1.7% 4.34% 2% ± 2% GPC 3.2% 8.7% 3.73% 6% ± 4%