338Canada | Peterborough–Kawartha (Ontario federal district)





35084 - Peterborough–Kawartha

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 118,175 residents
Population density: 39.1 pop./km² (rank: 224 of 338)
Median household income: $62 181 (rank: 231 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Michelle Ferreri (CPC)



Latest projection (November 28, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Peterborough–Kawartha

Last update: November 28, 2021






Odds of winning | Peterborough–Kawartha

Last update: November 28, 2021










Electoral history of Peterborough–Kawartha



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Peterborough–Kawartha



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Peterborough–Kawartha


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Incorrect winner, but within confidence interval
34.6% ± 6.4% 39.0% Within confidence interval
35.2% ± 6.4% 35.1% Within confidence interval
19.3% ± 4.7% 19.0% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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