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Calgary Midnapore



Latest projection: April 17, 2025
CPC safe

Candidates | Calgary Midnapore


Liberal Sunjiv Raval
Conservative Stephanie Kusie*
NDP Austin Mullins
Green Adam Delgado
PPC Colin Kindret

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Calgary Midnapore 58% ± 8% CPC 31% ± 7% LPC 7% ± 4% NDP CPC 2021 60.3% 338Canada vote projection | April 17, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary Midnapore >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 17, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Calgary Midnapore

LPC 31% ± 7% CPC 58% ± 8% NDP 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Calgary Midnapore 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 61% LPC 15% NDP 15% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 58% LPC 20% NDP 13% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 56% LPC 26% NDP 11% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 56% LPC 27% NDP 11% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 55% LPC 27% NDP 11% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 55% LPC 26% NDP 11% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 55% LPC 26% NDP 11% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 56% LPC 26% NDP 11% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 56% LPC 27% NDP 10% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 56% LPC 27% NDP 10% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 56% LPC 27% NDP 10% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 57% LPC 27% NDP 9% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 57% LPC 27% NDP 9% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 57% LPC 27% NDP 9% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 58% LPC 27% NDP 9% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 58% LPC 27% NDP 8% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 59% LPC 27% NDP 8% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 59% LPC 28% NDP 8% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 59% LPC 28% NDP 7% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 59% LPC 28% NDP 7% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 59% LPC 28% NDP 7% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 60% LPC 28% NDP 7% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 60% LPC 29% NDP 7% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 60% LPC 29% NDP 7% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 59% LPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 59% LPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 59% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 59% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 59% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 58% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 58% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 58% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-04-17 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Calgary Midnapore

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-17 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Calgary Midnapore



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 73.9% 60.3% 58% ± 8% LPC 11.1% 12.5% 31% ± 7% NDP 9.6% 18.5% 7% ± 4% GPC 3.0% 1.3% 2% ± 2% PPC 2.3% 6.1% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.