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Canada

Vancouver Granville



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Vancouver Granville


Liberal Taleeb Noormohamed*
Conservative Marie Rogers
NDP Sukhi Sahota
Green Jerry Kroll
PPC Peter Shaw-Wood

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Vancouver Granville 58% ± 8%▼ LPC 28% ± 7% CPC 11% ± 5% NDP LPC 2021 37.2% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver Granville >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Vancouver Granville

LPC 58% ± 8% CPC 28% ± 7% NDP 11% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Vancouver Granville 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 41% CPC 31% NDP 21% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 43% CPC 31% NDP 19% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 48% CPC 31% NDP 15% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 49% CPC 31% NDP 14% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 50% CPC 31% NDP 14% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 50% CPC 31% NDP 14% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 50% CPC 31% NDP 14% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 51% CPC 31% NDP 13% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 54% CPC 30% NDP 11% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 54% CPC 30% NDP 11% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 54% CPC 30% NDP 11% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 54% CPC 30% NDP 11% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 55% CPC 29% NDP 11% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 56% CPC 29% NDP 10% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 56% CPC 29% NDP 10% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 58% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 58% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 59% CPC 29% NDP 10% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 59% CPC 29% NDP 9% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 60% CPC 29% NDP 9% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 61% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 11% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 11% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 58% CPC 28% NDP 11% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Vancouver Granville

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 96% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 97% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Vancouver Granville



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 31.5% 37.2% 58% ± 8% CPC 21.1% 24.7% 28% ± 7% NDP 14.9% 32.9% 11% ± 5% GPC 6.4% 2.7% 1% ± 2% PPC 0.8% 2.4% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.