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Canada

Vancouver Granville


MP elect: Taleeb Noormohamed (LPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Vancouver Granville


Liberal Taleeb Noormohamed*
Conservative Marie Rogers
NDP Sukhi Sahota
Green Jerry Kroll

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Vancouver Granville 62% ± 0%▲ LPC 29% ± 0%▲ CPC 8% ± 0%▼ NDP LPC 2025 62.1% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver Granville >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Vancouver Granville

LPC 62% ± 0% CPC 29% ± 0% NDP 8% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Vancouver Granville 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 41% CPC 31% NDP 21% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 43% CPC 31% NDP 19% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 48% CPC 31% NDP 15% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 49% CPC 31% NDP 14% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 50% CPC 31% NDP 14% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 50% CPC 31% NDP 14% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 50% CPC 31% NDP 14% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 51% CPC 31% NDP 13% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 54% CPC 30% NDP 11% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 54% CPC 30% NDP 11% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 54% CPC 30% NDP 11% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 54% CPC 30% NDP 11% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 55% CPC 29% NDP 11% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 56% CPC 29% NDP 10% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 56% CPC 29% NDP 10% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 58% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 58% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 59% CPC 29% NDP 10% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 59% CPC 29% NDP 9% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 60% CPC 29% NDP 9% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 61% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 60% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 11% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 11% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 58% CPC 28% NDP 11% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 58% CPC 28% NDP 11% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 58% CPC 28% NDP 11% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 59% CPC 29% NDP 10% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 59% CPC 29% NDP 10% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 59% CPC 29% NDP 11% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 60% CPC 29% NDP 10% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 61% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 61% CPC 28% NDP 10% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 61% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 61% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 61% CPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 59% CPC 28% NDP 11% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 62% CPC 29% NDP 8% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Vancouver Granville

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 96% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 97% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Vancouver Granville



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 62% ± 0% 31.5% 37.2% 62.1% CPC 29% ± 0% 21.1% 24.7% 28.8% NDP 8% ± 0% 14.9% 32.9% 7.5% GPC 2% ± 0% 6.4% 2.7% 1.6% PPC 0% ± 0% 0.8% 2.4% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.