338Canada | Delta (British Columbia federal district)




59011 - Delta

Province: British Columbia
Population (2016): 103,065 residents
Population density: 550 pop./km² (rank: 159 of 338)
Median household income: $92 201 (rank: 46 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Carla Qualtrough (LPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Delta


Carla Qualtrough
Garry Shearer
Monika Dean
Jeremy Smith
Paul Tarasenko
Hong Yan Pan





Federal vote projection | Delta

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Delta

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Delta



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Delta



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Delta


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
37.9% ± 8.4% 41.2% Within confidence interval
34.4% ± 8.1% 33.0% Within confidence interval
16.8% ± 5.8% 16.3% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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