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Canada


Delta (federal)


MP: Carla Qualtrough (LPC)


Latest projection: March 19, 2023

Toss up LPC/CPC
Delta 41% ± 7% LPC 39% ± 8% CPC 15% ± 5% NDP 4% ± 3% GPC LPC 2021 42.26% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 19, 2023
50% 100% Delta 57% LPC 43% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 19, 2023


Popular vote projection | Delta

LPC 41% ± 7% CPC 39% ± 8% NDP 15% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Delta 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Delta

LPC 57% CPC 43% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Delta



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 49.1% 41.2% 42.26% 41% ± 7% CPC 32.8% 33.0% 33.83% 39% ± 8% NDP 14.9% 16.3% 18.32% 15% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 1.8% 2.47% 1% ± 1% GPC 3.2% 6.3% 2.38% 4% ± 3% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%