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Canada


Compton–Stanstead (federal)


MP: Marie-Claude Bibeau (LPC)


Latest projection: April 14, 2024

BQ leaning gain
Compton–Stanstead 31% ± 7%▼ 27% ± 6%▲ 25% ± 6%▲ 9% ± 4% 6% ± 4% LPC 2021 36.66% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 14, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Compton–Stanstead 80%▼ 15%▲ 6%▲ Odds of winning | April 14, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Compton–Stanstead

LPC 27% ± 6% CPC 25% ± 6% NDP 9% ± 4% GPC 6% ± 4% BQ 31% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Compton–Stanstead 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Odds of winning | Compton–Stanstead

LPC 15% CPC 6% NDP <1% GPC <1% BQ 80% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Recent electoral history | Compton–Stanstead



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 36.9% 37.3% 36.66% 27% ± 6% BQ 20.7% 31.9% 30.6% 31% ± 7% CPC 12.5% 14.5% 17.45% 25% ± 6% NDP 27.4% 9.6% 7.4% 9% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.0% 3.75% 2% ± 2% GPC 1.9% 5.2% 2.81% 6% ± 4% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.32% 0% ± 0%