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Recent electoral history | Drummond


2019 2021 2025 Projection BQ 47% ± 7% 44.8% 46.6% 42.8% LPC 24% ± 6% 17.4% 18.8% 28.4% CPC 19% ± 5% 16.6% 17.9% 22.7% NDP 7% ± 4% 15.9% 11.2% 4.6%

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338Canada Drummond projection

Latest update: January 25, 2026

Drummond 40% 54% 47% ± 7% BQ 18% 30% 24% ± 6% LPC 14% 24% 19% ± 5% CPC 3% 11% 7% ± 4% NDP BQ 2025 42.8% 338Canada vote projection | January 25, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Drummond >99% BQ <1% LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | January 25, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Drummond

LPC 24% ± 6% CPC 19% ± 5% NDP 7% ± 4% BQ 47% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Drummond 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ PPC January 25, 2026 2025-04-26 BQ 39% CPC 31% LPC 22% NDP 7% GPC 0% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 39% CPC 31% LPC 22% NDP 7% GPC 0% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 38% CPC 31% LPC 23% NDP 7% GPC 0% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ 43% LPC 28% CPC 23% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 BQ 43% LPC 28% CPC 23% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 BQ 43% LPC 28% CPC 23% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 BQ 43% LPC 28% CPC 23% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 BQ 43% LPC 28% CPC 23% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 BQ 43% LPC 28% CPC 22% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 BQ 44% LPC 28% CPC 22% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 BQ 43% LPC 29% CPC 22% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 BQ 42% LPC 30% CPC 21% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 BQ 41% LPC 31% CPC 21% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 BQ 41% LPC 32% CPC 21% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 BQ 41% LPC 32% CPC 21% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 BQ 41% LPC 32% CPC 20% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 BQ 41% LPC 32% CPC 20% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 BQ 42% LPC 31% CPC 20% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 BQ 42% LPC 30% CPC 20% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 BQ 43% LPC 30% CPC 20% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 BQ 43% LPC 29% CPC 20% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 BQ 44% LPC 28% CPC 20% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 BQ 44% LPC 29% CPC 21% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 BQ 43% LPC 29% CPC 21% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 BQ 43% LPC 28% CPC 22% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 BQ 43% LPC 28% CPC 22% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 BQ 45% LPC 27% CPC 21% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 BQ 45% LPC 27% CPC 21% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 BQ 45% LPC 27% CPC 21% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 BQ 45% LPC 27% CPC 21% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 BQ 44% LPC 27% CPC 22% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 BQ 44% LPC 26% CPC 22% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 BQ 45% LPC 26% CPC 22% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 BQ 45% LPC 26% CPC 22% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 BQ 46% LPC 27% CPC 20% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 BQ 47% LPC 26% CPC 20% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 BQ 48% LPC 25% CPC 20% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 BQ 46% LPC 25% CPC 19% NDP 7% GPC 1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 BQ 47% LPC 25% CPC 19% NDP 7% GPC 1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 BQ 47% LPC 25% CPC 19% NDP 7% GPC 1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 BQ 47% LPC 24% CPC 18% NDP 7% GPC 1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 BQ 47% LPC 24% CPC 19% NDP 7% GPC 1% 2026-01-25

Odds of winning | Drummond

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% BQ >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ January 25, 2026 2025-04-26 BQ 91% CPC 9% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 91% CPC 9% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 91% CPC 9% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 BQ >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 BQ >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 BQ 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 BQ 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 BQ 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 BQ 94% LPC 6% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 BQ 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 BQ 94% LPC 6% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 BQ 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-25


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Demographic data | Drummond

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 97.2% French 1.0% English 0.8% Spanish 0.4% Arabic 0.1% Mandarin 0.1% Creole 0.0% Serbo-CroatianDrummondSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 16.1% No diploma 19.0% High school 25.7% Trade 20.1% College / Cégep 3.0% Some university 11.3% Bachelor's 4.8% PostgraduateDrummondSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 95.7% Not visible minority 4.3% Visible minority 1.6% Black 1.2% Latin American 1.0% Arab 0.2% Southeast Asian 0.2% Chinese 0.1% FilipinoDrummondSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 65.2% Catholic 25.6% No Religion 5.6% Christian (n.o.s.) 1.3% Muslim 0.6% Other Christian 0.3% Baptist 0.3% Pentecostal 0.2% Jehovah's WitnessDrummondSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 59.9% Owner 40.1% RenterDrummondSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 60.2% Employed 36.4% Not in labour force 3.4% UnemployedDrummondSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 98.3% Non-Indigenous 1.7% Indigenous identity 1.1% First Nations 0.5% Metis 0.1% OthersDrummondSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 92.4% Car / truck / van 4.2% Walking 1.4% Other 1.1% Public transit 0.9% BicycleDrummondSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.