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Canada

Drummond


MP elect: Martin Champoux (BQ)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
BQ safe

Candidates | Drummond


Liberal Ghada Jerbi
Conservative François Fréchette
NDP Francois Choquette
Bloc Quebecois Martin Champoux*
PPC William Trottier

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Drummond 43% ± 6% BQ 28% ± 6% LPC 23% ± 5% CPC 5% ± 3% NDP BQ 2025 42.8% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Drummond >99% BQ <1% LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Drummond

LPC 28% ± 6% CPC 23% ± 5% NDP 5% ± 3% BQ 43% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Drummond 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ 48% CPC 28% NDP 13% LPC 9% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ 47% CPC 29% NDP 13% LPC 9% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ 47% CPC 29% NDP 13% LPC 9% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ 47% CPC 28% NDP 13% LPC 9% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 BQ 46% CPC 28% NDP 13% LPC 11% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 BQ 45% CPC 28% LPC 13% NDP 12% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 BQ 44% CPC 29% LPC 14% NDP 11% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 BQ 43% CPC 29% LPC 15% NDP 11% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 BQ 42% CPC 29% LPC 16% NDP 11% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 41% CPC 29% LPC 17% NDP 10% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 41% CPC 29% LPC 19% NDP 10% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 40% CPC 29% LPC 19% NDP 9% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 40% CPC 29% LPC 19% NDP 9% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 40% CPC 29% LPC 19% NDP 9% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 41% CPC 29% LPC 19% NDP 9% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 41% CPC 28% LPC 19% NDP 9% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 40% CPC 28% LPC 22% NDP 8% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 40% CPC 28% LPC 22% NDP 8% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 39% CPC 28% LPC 22% NDP 8% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 39% CPC 29% LPC 23% NDP 7% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 38% CPC 29% LPC 23% NDP 7% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 BQ 37% CPC 30% LPC 23% NDP 7% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 38% CPC 29% LPC 23% NDP 7% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 BQ 37% CPC 30% LPC 24% NDP 7% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 BQ 37% CPC 30% LPC 24% NDP 7% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 BQ 37% CPC 30% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 BQ 37% CPC 30% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 BQ 37% CPC 29% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 BQ 37% CPC 30% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 BQ 37% CPC 30% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 BQ 38% CPC 28% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 BQ 38% CPC 28% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 BQ 38% CPC 28% LPC 26% NDP 7% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 BQ 38% CPC 29% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 BQ 38% CPC 29% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 BQ 38% CPC 29% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 38% CPC 30% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 BQ 38% CPC 29% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 BQ 38% CPC 29% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 BQ 38% CPC 29% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 BQ 38% CPC 29% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 BQ 38% CPC 29% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 BQ 38% CPC 29% LPC 25% NDP 7% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 BQ 39% CPC 29% LPC 24% NDP 7% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 BQ 40% CPC 29% LPC 24% NDP 7% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 BQ 39% CPC 30% LPC 23% NDP 7% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 BQ 39% CPC 31% LPC 23% NDP 7% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 BQ 39% CPC 31% LPC 22% NDP 7% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 BQ 39% CPC 31% LPC 22% NDP 7% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 39% CPC 31% LPC 22% NDP 7% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 38% CPC 31% LPC 23% NDP 7% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ 43% LPC 28% CPC 23% NDP 5% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 BQ 43% LPC 28% CPC 23% NDP 5% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 BQ 43% LPC 28% CPC 23% NDP 5% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 BQ 43% LPC 28% CPC 23% NDP 5% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Drummond

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% BQ >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 BQ >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 BQ >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 BQ >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 BQ 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 BQ 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 97% CPC 3% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 94% CPC 5% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 BQ 93% CPC 7% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 95% CPC 5% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 BQ 93% CPC 7% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 BQ 90% CPC 10% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 BQ 90% CPC 10% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 BQ 91% CPC 8% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 BQ 92% CPC 7% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 BQ 91% CPC 9% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 BQ 90% CPC 9% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 BQ 95% CPC 4% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 BQ 97% CPC 2% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 BQ 96% CPC 4% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 BQ 95% CPC 4% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 BQ 95% CPC 5% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 BQ 93% CPC 6% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 94% CPC 6% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 BQ 93% CPC 6% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 BQ 94% CPC 6% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 BQ 95% CPC 5% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 BQ 95% CPC 5% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 BQ 96% CPC 4% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 BQ 95% CPC 5% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 BQ 96% CPC 4% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 BQ 97% CPC 3% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 BQ 95% CPC 5% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 BQ 94% CPC 6% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 BQ 93% CPC 7% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 BQ 91% CPC 9% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 91% CPC 9% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 91% CPC 9% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Drummond



2019 2021 2025 Proj. BQ 43% ± 6% 44.8% 46.6% 42.8% LPC 28% ± 6% 17.4% 18.8% 28.4% CPC 23% ± 5% 16.6% 17.9% 22.7% NDP 5% ± 3% 15.9% 11.2% 4.6% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.0% 0.0% 1.4% GPC 0% ± 0% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.