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Canada

London—Fanshawe


Latest projection: July 21, 2024
NDP likely
London—Fanshawe 44% ± 8% NDP 34% ± 7% CPC 14% ± 5% LPC 5% ± 6% PPC NDP 2021 43.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | July 21, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% London—Fanshawe 96% NDP 4% CPC <1% LPC Odds of winning | July 21, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | London—Fanshawe

LPC 14% ± 5% CPC 34% ± 7% NDP 44% ± 8% PPC 5% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | London—Fanshawe 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP PPC July 21, 2024 2024-05-12 NDP 46% CPC 34% LPC 14% PPC 4% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 NDP 46% CPC 34% LPC 14% PPC 4% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 NDP 45% CPC 33% LPC 15% PPC 4% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 NDP 46% CPC 33% LPC 15% PPC 4% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 NDP 46% CPC 33% LPC 15% PPC 4% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 NDP 46% CPC 32% LPC 15% PPC 4% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP 47% CPC 32% LPC 14% PPC 4% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP 45% CPC 33% LPC 14% PPC 5% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP 45% CPC 33% LPC 14% PPC 5% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP 44% CPC 34% LPC 14% PPC 5% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP 44% CPC 34% LPC 14% PPC 5% 2024-07-21

Odds of winning | London—Fanshawe

LPC <1% CPC 4% NDP 96% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 21, 2024 2024-05-12 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 NDP 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 NDP 98% CPC 2% LPC <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 NDP 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP 97% CPC 3% LPC <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP 97% CPC 3% LPC <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP 96% CPC 4% LPC <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP 96% CPC 4% LPC <1% 2024-07-21

Recent electoral history | London—Fanshawe



2019 2021 Proj. NDP 40.8% 43.5% 44% ± 8% CPC 24.8% 24.3% 34% ± 7% LPC 26.9% 23.0% 14% ± 5% PPC 2.0% 9.2% 5% ± 6% GPC 5.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.