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Canada

London—Fanshawe


MP elect: Kurt Holman (CPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
CPC likely

Candidates | London—Fanshawe


Liberal Najam Naqvi
Conservative Kurt Holman
NDP Lindsay Mathyssen*
PPC Daniel Buta

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



London—Fanshawe 41% ± 0%▲ CPC 30% ± 0%▼ LPC 28% ± 0%▼ NDP CPC 2025 40.7% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% London—Fanshawe >99%▲ CPC <1%▼ LPC <1%▼ NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | London—Fanshawe

LPC 30% ± 0% CPC 41% ± 0% NDP 28% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | London—Fanshawe 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 NDP 35% CPC 31% LPC 25% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP 36% CPC 29% LPC 26% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 NDP 34% LPC 29% CPC 29% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 NDP 35% LPC 29% CPC 28% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 35% LPC 29% CPC 28% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 NDP 35% LPC 29% CPC 28% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 NDP 35% LPC 30% CPC 28% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 35% LPC 30% CPC 28% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 NDP 34% LPC 30% CPC 28% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 NDP 34% LPC 30% CPC 29% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 NDP 33% LPC 31% CPC 28% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 NDP 33% LPC 32% CPC 28% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 NDP 33% LPC 32% CPC 29% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 NDP 32% LPC 32% CPC 29% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 32% NDP 32% CPC 29% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 NDP 33% LPC 32% CPC 28% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 NDP 33% LPC 33% CPC 28% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 NDP 34% LPC 33% CPC 27% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 NDP 35% LPC 33% CPC 27% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 NDP 35% LPC 33% CPC 27% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 26% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 NDP 34% LPC 33% CPC 27% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 NDP 34% LPC 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 NDP 34% LPC 34% CPC 26% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 NDP 35% LPC 35% CPC 27% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 35% NDP 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 NDP 34% LPC 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 NDP 35% LPC 35% CPC 27% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 NDP 34% LPC 34% CPC 28% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 NDP 34% LPC 34% CPC 28% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 34% NDP 34% CPC 28% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 35% NDP 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 35% NDP 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 36% NDP 34% CPC 26% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 35% NDP 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 35% NDP 34% CPC 26% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 35% NDP 35% CPC 26% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 35% NDP 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 34% NDP 34% CPC 28% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 41% LPC 30% NDP 28% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | London—Fanshawe

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 NDP 78% CPC 20% LPC 2% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP 87% CPC 11% LPC 3% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 NDP 69% LPC 16% CPC 14% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 NDP 78% LPC 14% CPC 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 78% LPC 14% CPC 7% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 NDP 77% LPC 15% CPC 8% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 NDP 77% LPC 15% CPC 7% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 77% LPC 16% CPC 8% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 NDP 68% LPC 22% CPC 10% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 NDP 64% LPC 24% CPC 11% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 NDP 59% LPC 31% CPC 11% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 NDP 55% LPC 35% CPC 10% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 NDP 48% LPC 41% CPC 11% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 NDP 47% LPC 42% CPC 11% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 NDP 43% LPC 42% CPC 15% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 NDP 51% LPC 42% CPC 7% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 NDP 50% LPC 45% CPC 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 NDP 57% LPC 40% CPC 3% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 NDP 64% LPC 34% CPC 2% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 NDP 60% LPC 38% CPC 2% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 NDP 56% LPC 42% CPC 2% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 NDP 54% LPC 43% CPC 3% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 NDP 53% LPC 44% CPC 3% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 NDP 53% LPC 45% CPC 2% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 NDP 57% LPC 42% CPC 1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 NDP 57% LPC 42% CPC 2% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 NDP 52% LPC 46% CPC 1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 54% NDP 44% CPC 2% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 NDP 51% LPC 47% CPC 2% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 NDP 52% LPC 47% CPC 1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 NDP 54% LPC 45% CPC 1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 NDP 54% LPC 44% CPC 2% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 NDP 53% LPC 43% CPC 3% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 NDP 51% LPC 46% CPC 3% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 50% NDP 47% CPC 4% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 52% NDP 45% CPC 3% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 62% NDP 37% CPC 2% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 63% NDP 36% CPC 1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 58% NDP 41% CPC 1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 54% NDP 44% CPC 1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 52% NDP 47% CPC 1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 53% NDP 45% CPC 1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 52% NDP 45% CPC 3% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | London—Fanshawe



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 41% ± 0% 24.8% 24.3% 40.7% LPC 30% ± 0% 26.9% 23.0% 30.4% NDP 28% ± 0% 40.8% 43.5% 27.6% PPC 1% ± 0% 2.0% 9.2% 1.3% GPC 0% ± 0% 5.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.