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Canada

London—Fanshawe


MP elect: Kurt Holman (CPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
CPC likely

Candidates | London—Fanshawe


Liberal Najam Naqvi
Conservative Kurt Holman
NDP Lindsay Mathyssen*
PPC Daniel Buta

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



London—Fanshawe 41% ± 6% CPC 31% ± 6%▲ LPC 28% ± 5% NDP CPC 2025 40.6% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% London—Fanshawe 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | London—Fanshawe

LPC 31% ± 6% CPC 41% ± 6% NDP 28% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | London—Fanshawe 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 NDP 45% CPC 36% LPC 11% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 NDP 44% CPC 36% LPC 12% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 NDP 44% CPC 36% LPC 13% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 NDP 42% CPC 34% LPC 17% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 NDP 40% CPC 34% LPC 19% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 NDP 36% CPC 34% LPC 23% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 NDP 34% CPC 34% LPC 25% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 NDP 35% CPC 30% LPC 26% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 NDP 35% CPC 31% LPC 25% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP 36% CPC 29% LPC 26% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 NDP 34% LPC 29% CPC 29% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 NDP 35% LPC 29% CPC 28% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 35% LPC 29% CPC 28% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 NDP 35% LPC 29% CPC 28% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 NDP 35% LPC 30% CPC 28% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 35% LPC 30% CPC 28% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 NDP 34% LPC 30% CPC 28% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 NDP 34% LPC 30% CPC 29% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 NDP 33% LPC 31% CPC 28% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 NDP 33% LPC 32% CPC 28% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 NDP 33% LPC 32% CPC 29% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 NDP 32% LPC 32% CPC 29% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 32% NDP 32% CPC 29% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 NDP 33% LPC 32% CPC 28% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 NDP 33% LPC 33% CPC 28% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 NDP 34% LPC 33% CPC 27% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 NDP 35% LPC 33% CPC 27% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 NDP 35% LPC 33% CPC 27% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 26% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 NDP 34% LPC 33% CPC 27% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 NDP 34% LPC 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 NDP 34% LPC 34% CPC 26% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 NDP 35% LPC 35% CPC 27% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 35% NDP 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 NDP 34% LPC 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 NDP 35% LPC 35% CPC 27% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 NDP 34% LPC 34% CPC 28% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 NDP 34% LPC 34% CPC 28% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 34% NDP 34% CPC 28% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 35% NDP 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 35% NDP 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 36% NDP 34% CPC 26% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 35% NDP 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 35% NDP 34% CPC 26% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 35% NDP 35% CPC 26% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 35% NDP 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 34% NDP 34% CPC 28% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 41% LPC 30% NDP 28% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 41% LPC 30% NDP 28% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 41% LPC 30% NDP 28% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 41% LPC 31% NDP 28% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | London—Fanshawe

LPC 1% CPC 99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 NDP 92% CPC 8% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 NDP 89% CPC 11% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 NDP 88% CPC 12% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 NDP 88% CPC 12% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 NDP 84% CPC 16% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 NDP 62% CPC 38% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 NDP 52% CPC 47% LPC 1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 NDP 79% CPC 18% LPC 2% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 NDP 78% CPC 20% LPC 2% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP 87% CPC 11% LPC 3% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 NDP 69% LPC 16% CPC 14% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 NDP 78% LPC 14% CPC 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 78% LPC 14% CPC 7% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 NDP 77% LPC 15% CPC 8% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 NDP 77% LPC 15% CPC 7% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 77% LPC 16% CPC 8% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 NDP 68% LPC 22% CPC 10% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 NDP 64% LPC 24% CPC 11% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 NDP 59% LPC 31% CPC 11% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 NDP 55% LPC 35% CPC 10% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 NDP 48% LPC 41% CPC 11% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 NDP 47% LPC 42% CPC 11% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 NDP 43% LPC 42% CPC 15% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 NDP 51% LPC 42% CPC 7% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 NDP 50% LPC 45% CPC 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 NDP 57% LPC 40% CPC 3% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 NDP 64% LPC 34% CPC 2% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 NDP 60% LPC 38% CPC 2% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 NDP 56% LPC 42% CPC 2% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 NDP 54% LPC 43% CPC 3% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 NDP 53% LPC 44% CPC 3% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 NDP 53% LPC 45% CPC 2% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 NDP 57% LPC 42% CPC 1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 NDP 57% LPC 42% CPC 2% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 NDP 52% LPC 46% CPC 1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 54% NDP 44% CPC 2% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 NDP 51% LPC 47% CPC 2% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 NDP 52% LPC 47% CPC 1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 NDP 54% LPC 45% CPC 1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 NDP 54% LPC 44% CPC 2% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 NDP 53% LPC 43% CPC 3% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 NDP 51% LPC 46% CPC 3% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 50% NDP 47% CPC 4% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 52% NDP 45% CPC 3% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 62% NDP 37% CPC 2% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 63% NDP 36% CPC 1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 58% NDP 41% CPC 1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 54% NDP 44% CPC 1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 52% NDP 47% CPC 1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 53% NDP 45% CPC 1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 52% NDP 45% CPC 3% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | London—Fanshawe



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 41% ± 6% 24.8% 24.3% 40.6% LPC 31% ± 6% 26.9% 23.0% 30.5% NDP 28% ± 5% 40.8% 43.5% 27.6% PPC 1% ± 1% 2.0% 9.2% 1.3% GPC 0% ± 0% 5.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.