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Recent electoral history | London—Fanshawe


2019 2021 2025 Projection CPC 36% ± 6% 24.8% 24.3% 40.6% LPC 32% ± 6% 26.9% 23.0% 30.5% NDP 30% ± 7% 40.8% 43.5% 27.6% PPC 1% ± 2% 2.0% 9.2% 1.3%

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338Canada London—Fanshawe projection

Latest update: March 8, 2026

London—Fanshawe 29% 42% 36% ± 6% CPC 26% 38% 32% ± 6% LPC 23% 37% 30% ± 7% NDP CPC 2025 40.6% 338Canada vote projection | March 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% London—Fanshawe 74%▼ CPC 16%▲ LPC 9%▼ NDP Odds of winning | March 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | London—Fanshawe

LPC 32% ± 6% CPC 36% ± 6% NDP 30% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | London—Fanshawe 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC March 8, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 35% NDP 35% CPC 26% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 35% NDP 34% CPC 27% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 34% NDP 34% CPC 28% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 41% LPC 30% NDP 28% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 41% LPC 30% NDP 28% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 41% LPC 30% NDP 28% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 41% LPC 31% NDP 28% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 41% LPC 31% NDP 28% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 40% LPC 31% NDP 28% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 40% LPC 31% NDP 29% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 39% LPC 31% NDP 29% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 39% LPC 30% NDP 30% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 38% NDP 31% LPC 30% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 37% NDP 32% LPC 30% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 37% NDP 32% LPC 30% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 37% NDP 33% LPC 30% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 36% NDP 33% LPC 29% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 35% NDP 34% LPC 29% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 35% NDP 35% LPC 29% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 35% NDP 35% LPC 28% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 NDP 35% CPC 35% LPC 28% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 NDP 36% CPC 35% LPC 27% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 37% NDP 34% LPC 28% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 37% NDP 34% LPC 27% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 38% NDP 34% LPC 27% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 38% NDP 34% LPC 26% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 38% NDP 34% LPC 27% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 38% NDP 34% LPC 27% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 38% NDP 35% LPC 27% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 37% NDP 35% LPC 27% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 37% NDP 35% LPC 27% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 37% NDP 36% LPC 27% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 37% NDP 36% LPC 26% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 37% NDP 36% LPC 26% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 28% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 36% NDP 35% LPC 27% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 37% NDP 35% LPC 27% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 37% NDP 36% LPC 25% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 37% NDP 36% LPC 25% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 37% NDP 36% LPC 25% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 37% NDP 36% LPC 25% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC 37% NDP 35% LPC 25% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 37% NDP 31% LPC 30% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 CPC 37% LPC 31% NDP 30% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 CPC 36% LPC 32% NDP 29% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 CPC 37% LPC 31% NDP 29% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 CPC 36% LPC 31% NDP 30% 2026-03-01 2026-03-08 CPC 36% LPC 32% NDP 30% 2026-03-08

Odds of winning | London—Fanshawe

LPC 16% CPC 74% NDP 9% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP March 8, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 52% NDP 47% CPC 1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 53% NDP 45% CPC 1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 52% NDP 45% CPC 3% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 96% LPC 3% NDP 1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 95% LPC 4% NDP 1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 93% LPC 5% NDP 2% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 90% LPC 6% NDP 4% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 88% NDP 7% LPC 5% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 84% NDP 11% LPC 5% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 77% NDP 17% LPC 7% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 74% NDP 19% LPC 7% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 72% NDP 23% LPC 6% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 64% NDP 30% LPC 5% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 54% NDP 41% LPC 4% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 50% NDP 45% LPC 5% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 51% NDP 46% LPC 3% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 NDP 50% CPC 47% LPC 2% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 NDP 59% CPC 40% LPC 1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 73% NDP 25% LPC 1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 73% NDP 27% LPC 1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 74% NDP 26% LPC <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 75% NDP 25% LPC <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 71% NDP 29% LPC <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 72% NDP 28% LPC <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 70% NDP 30% LPC <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 65% NDP 35% LPC <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 59% NDP 41% LPC <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 56% NDP 44% LPC <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 55% NDP 45% LPC <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 55% NDP 45% LPC <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 59% NDP 40% LPC 1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 54% NDP 45% LPC 1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 63% NDP 36% LPC 1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 57% NDP 43% LPC <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 56% NDP 44% LPC <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 56% NDP 44% LPC <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 56% NDP 44% LPC <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC 61% NDP 39% LPC <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 82% NDP 12% LPC 5% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 CPC 87% LPC 7% NDP 6% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 CPC 77% LPC 17% NDP 6% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 CPC 88% LPC 7% NDP 5% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 CPC 77% LPC 13% NDP 10% 2026-03-01 2026-03-08 CPC 74% LPC 16% NDP 9% 2026-03-08


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Demographic data | London—Fanshawe

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 85.9% English 2.9% Arabic 1.7% Spanish 1.0% Portuguese 0.8% Polish 0.8% Punjabi 0.5% VietnameseLondon—FanshaweSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 13.4% No diploma 30.0% High school 6.2% Trade 29.4% College / Cégep 1.9% Some university 13.4% Bachelor's 5.6% PostgraduateLondon—FanshaweSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 72.3% Not visible minority 27.7% Visible minority 5.8% Arab 5.5% Black 5.0% South Asian 3.2% Latin American 2.2% Southeast Asian 2.0% FilipinoLondon—FanshaweSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 38.3% No Religion 22.6% Catholic 8.7% Muslim 8.5% Christian (n.o.s.) 3.9% Anglican 3.8% United Church 1.8% Other Christian 1.6% BaptistLondon—FanshaweSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 66.9% Owner 33.1% RenterLondon—FanshaweSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 52.5% Employed 38.7% Not in labour force 8.9% UnemployedLondon—FanshaweSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 96.5% Non-Indigenous 3.5% Indigenous identity 2.6% First Nations 0.8% Metis 0.1% OthersLondon—FanshaweSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 88.1% Car / truck / van 5.6% Public transit 3.2% Walking 2.2% Other 0.8% BicycleLondon—FanshaweSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.