338Canada | Bow River (Alberta federal district)




48003 - Bow River

Province: Alberta
Population (2016): 115,020 residents
Population density: 4.79 pop./km² (rank: 291 of 338)
Median household income: $90 475 (rank: 53 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Martin Shields (CPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Bow River


Getu Shawile
Martin Shields
Michael MacLean
Jonathan Bridges
Orrin Bliss
Tom Lipp (CHP)





Federal vote projection | Bow River

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Bow River

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Bow River



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Bow River



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Bow River


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
72.7% ± 7.3% 83.9% Outside confidence interval
9.9% ± 4.1% 5.8% Outside confidence interval
8.8% ± 4.0% 5.6% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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