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Canada


Huron–Bruce (federal)


MP: Ben Lobb (CPC)


Latest projection: November 26, 2023

CPC safe hold
Huron–Bruce 65% ± 7% 16% ± 5% 15% ± 5% 4% ± 3% CPC 2021 51.08% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 26, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Huron–Bruce >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | November 26, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Huron–Bruce

LPC 16% ± 5% CPC 65% ± 7% NDP 15% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Huron–Bruce 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Huron–Bruce

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Huron–Bruce



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 44.8% 48.5% 51.08% 65% ± 7% LPC 39.6% 33.1% 26.09% 16% ± 5% NDP 12.9% 12.2% 14.75% 15% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 1.8% 7.23% 4% ± 3% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.85% 0% ± 0% GPC 2.4% 4.4% 0.0% 1% ± 1%