logo
Canada

Winnipeg West


MP elect: Doug Eyolfson (LPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Winnipeg West


Liberal Doug Eyolfson
Conservative Marty Morantz*
NDP Avery Selby-Lyons
Green Dennis Bayomi

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Winnipeg West 54% ± 0%▲ LPC 41% ± 0%▲ CPC 4% ± 0%▼ NDP LPC 2025 54.4% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Winnipeg West >99%▲ LPC <1%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Winnipeg West

LPC 54% ± 0% CPC 41% ± 0% NDP 4% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Winnipeg West 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 42% CPC 42% NDP 10% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 45% CPC 40% NDP 9% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 50% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 51% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 52% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 51% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 52% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 53% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 53% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 53% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 54% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 54% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 54% CPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 54% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 53% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 53% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 54% CPC 41% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Winnipeg West

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 80% CPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Winnipeg West



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 54% ± 0% 35.7% 39.2% 54.4% CPC 41% ± 0% 41.5% 40.3% 40.8% NDP 4% ± 0% 13.6% 14.9% 4.0% GPC 1% ± 0% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8% PPC 0% ± 0% 4.0% 3.4% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.