338Canada | Winnipeg South Centre (Manitoba federal district)




46014 - Winnipeg South Centre

Province: Manitoba
Population (2016): 93,055 residents
Population density: 2067 pop./km² (rank: 84 of 338)
Median household income: $70 927 (rank: 157 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Jim Carr (LPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Winnipeg South Centre


Jim Carr
Joyce Bateman
Julia Riddell
Douglas Hemmerling
Chase Wells
Cam Scott (Comm.)





Federal vote projection | Winnipeg South Centre

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Winnipeg South Centre

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Winnipeg South Centre



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Winnipeg South Centre



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Winnipeg South Centre


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
41.5% ± 8.9% 45.0% Within confidence interval
38.8% ± 8.7% 29.7% Outside confidence interval
11.3% ± 4.5% 17.7% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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