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Recent electoral history | Winnipeg West


2019 2021 2025 Projection LPC 57% ± 7% 35.7% 39.2% 54.5% CPC 35% ± 7% 41.5% 40.3% 40.8% NDP 5% ± 3% 13.6% 14.9% 4.0% PPC 0% ± 1% 4.0% 3.4% 0.0%

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338Canada Winnipeg West projection

Latest update: February 8, 2026

Winnipeg West 50% 65% 57% ± 7% LPC 28% 42% 35% ± 7% CPC 1% 8% 5% ± 3% NDP LPC 2025 54.5% 338Canada vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Winnipeg West >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Winnipeg West

LPC 57% ± 7% CPC 35% ± 7% NDP 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Winnipeg West 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC February 8, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 53% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 54% CPC 41% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 54% CPC 41% NDP 4% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 54% CPC 41% NDP 4% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 54% CPC 41% NDP 4% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 54% CPC 41% NDP 4% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 54% CPC 41% NDP 4% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 54% CPC 41% NDP 4% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 56% CPC 39% NDP 4% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 57% CPC 38% NDP 4% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 58% CPC 37% NDP 4% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 58% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 58% CPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 58% CPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 58% CPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 57% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 57% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 56% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 56% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 54% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 56% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 LPC 55% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 LPC 55% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 LPC 54% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 LPC 54% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC 54% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC 54% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC 56% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 LPC 54% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 LPC 55% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 LPC 53% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 LPC 53% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 LPC 54% CPC 38% NDP 6% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 LPC 54% CPC 37% NDP 6% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 6% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 LPC 57% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 LPC 57% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2026-02-08

Odds of winning | Winnipeg West

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP February 8, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2026-02-08


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Demographic data | Winnipeg West

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 93.4% English 1.2% Tagalog 0.7% Russian 0.6% Punjabi 0.4% Spanish 0.4% French 0.3% GermanWinnipeg WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 6.2% No diploma 27.7% High school 6.8% Trade 22.7% College / Cégep 2.9% Some university 24.0% Bachelor's 9.7% PostgraduateWinnipeg WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 86.7% Not visible minority 13.3% Visible minority 3.9% Filipino 2.5% South Asian 2.1% Black 1.1% Chinese 0.7% Latin American 0.5% ArabWinnipeg WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 41.3% No Religion 18.8% Catholic 7.8% United Church 7.6% Christian (n.o.s.) 4.7% Anglican 3.4% Jewish 2.9% Lutheran 2.9% Other ChristianWinnipeg WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 72.3% Owner 27.7% RenterWinnipeg WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 58.3% Employed 36.9% Not in labour force 4.8% UnemployedWinnipeg WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 89.2% Non-Indigenous 10.8% Indigenous identity 6.5% Metis 4.0% First Nations 0.1% Others 0.1% MultipleWinnipeg WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 87.5% Car / truck / van 5.5% Public transit 4.1% Walking 1.9% Other 1.1% BicycleWinnipeg WestSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.