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Canada


Honoré-Mercier (federal)


MP: Pablo Rodriguez (LPC)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

LPC safe hold
Honoré-Mercier 57% ± 8% LPC 16% ± 5% BQ 11% ± 5% CPC 10% ± 4% NDP 4% ± 3% GPC 3% ± 3% PPC LPC 2021 59.98% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Honoré-Mercier >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% CPC Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Honoré-Mercier

LPC 57% ± 8% CPC 11% ± 5% NDP 10% ± 4% BQ 16% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Honoré-Mercier 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ

Odds of winning | Honoré-Mercier

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Honoré-Mercier



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 56.5% 58.7% 59.98% 57% ± 8% BQ 12.9% 19.8% 16.32% 16% ± 5% CPC 12.1% 9.5% 10.52% 11% ± 5% NDP 16.4% 8.2% 7.3% 10% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 0.9% 4.18% 3% ± 3% GPC 1.6% 2.7% 1.52% 4% ± 3%