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Electoral districts
All 338 electoral districts
Atlantic Canada
Quebec
Ontario
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Federal simulator
Honoré-Mercier (federal)
MP: Pablo Rodriguez (LPC)
Latest projection: February 5, 2023
LPC safe hold
Honoré-Mercier
57% ± 8%
LPC
16% ± 5%
BQ
11% ± 5%
CPC
10% ± 4%
NDP
4% ± 3%
GPC
3% ± 3%
PPC
LPC 2021
59.98%
338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50%
100%
Honoré-Mercier
>99%
LPC
<1%
BQ
<1%
CPC
Odds of winning | February 5, 2023
Popular vote projection | Honoré-Mercier
LPC 57% ± 8%
CPC 11% ± 5%
NDP 10% ± 4%
BQ 16% ± 5%
Popular vote projection % | Honoré-Mercier
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
BQ
Odds of winning | Honoré-Mercier
LPC >99%
CPC <1%
NDP <1%
GPC <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Recent electoral history | Honoré-Mercier
2015
2019
2021
Proj.
LPC
56.5%
58.7%
59.98%
57% ± 8%
BQ
12.9%
19.8%
16.32%
16% ± 5%
CPC
12.1%
9.5%
10.52%
11% ± 5%
NDP
16.4%
8.2%
7.3%
10% ± 4%
PPC
0.0%
0.9%
4.18%
3% ± 3%
GPC
1.6%
2.7%
1.52%
4% ± 3%