338Canada | Tobique–Mactaquac (New Brunswick federal district)




13010 - Tobique–Mactaquac

Province: New Brunswick
Population (2016): 68,670 residents
Population density: 4.71 pop./km² (rank: 292 of 338)
Median household income: $57 036 (rank: 277 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Richard Bragdon (CPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Tobique–Mactaquac


Cully Robinson
Richard Bragdon
Meriet Gray Miller
Anthony Martin
Daniel Waggoner
Steven LaForest





Federal vote projection | Tobique–Mactaquac

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Tobique–Mactaquac

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Tobique–Mactaquac



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Tobique–Mactaquac



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Tobique–Mactaquac


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
33.9% ± 8.5% 50.3% Outside confidence interval
32.9% ± 8.4% 25.2% Within confidence interval
17.4% ± 6.5% 14.1% Within confidence interval
8.9% ± 4.2% 7.9% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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