logo
Canada

London Centre



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | London Centre


Liberal Peter Fragiskatos*
Conservative Stephen Gallant
NDP Dirka Prout
Green Mary Ann Hodge
PPC Dave Annis
Canadian Future Bruce Lamb

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



London Centre 52% ± 8% LPC 28% ± 7%▼ CPC 14% ± 5% NDP LPC 2021 37.5% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% London Centre >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | London Centre

LPC 52% ± 8% CPC 28% ± 7% NDP 14% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | London Centre 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 37% CPC 32% NDP 24% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 39% CPC 31% NDP 23% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 42% CPC 30% NDP 21% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 43% CPC 30% NDP 21% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 43% CPC 30% NDP 21% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 43% CPC 30% NDP 21% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 43% CPC 30% NDP 21% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 43% CPC 30% NDP 21% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 47% CPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 47% CPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 48% CPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 49% CPC 30% NDP 16% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 49% CPC 30% NDP 16% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 49% CPC 30% NDP 16% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 49% CPC 30% NDP 15% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 51% CPC 31% NDP 14% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 52% CPC 31% NDP 14% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 14% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 14% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 14% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 14% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 14% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 14% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 14% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 51% CPC 29% NDP 14% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 51% CPC 29% NDP 14% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 52% CPC 29% NDP 14% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 52% CPC 29% NDP 14% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 52% CPC 29% NDP 14% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 52% CPC 28% NDP 14% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | London Centre

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 82% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | London Centre



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 41.9% 37.5% 52% ± 8% CPC 21.0% 24.8% 28% ± 7% NDP 26.5% 30.4% 14% ± 5% GPC 8.1% 2.0% 2% ± 2% PPC 2.3% 5.2% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.