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Latest projection: March 16, 2025
LPC likely
London Centre 39% ± 8%▲ LPC 31% ± 7%▼ CPC 23% ± 6%▼ NDP 4% ± 3%▲ GPC 3% ± 4% PPC LPC 2021 37.5% 338Canada vote projection | March 16, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% London Centre 93%▲ LPC 7%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 16, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | London Centre

LPC 39% ± 8% CPC 31% ± 7% NDP 23% ± 6% GPC 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | London Centre 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC March 16, 2025 2024-10-13 CPC 35% NDP 30% LPC 27% GPC 4% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 34% NDP 30% LPC 28% GPC 4% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 34% NDP 30% LPC 27% GPC 4% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 34% NDP 30% LPC 27% GPC 4% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 34% NDP 30% LPC 28% GPC 4% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 33% NDP 30% LPC 29% GPC 4% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC 35% NDP 30% LPC 27% GPC 4% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC 35% NDP 31% LPC 26% GPC 4% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 CPC 35% NDP 32% LPC 25% GPC 4% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 CPC 34% NDP 32% LPC 25% GPC 4% 2024-12-15 2024-12-22 CPC 35% NDP 34% LPC 23% GPC 4% 2024-12-22 2024-12-29 CPC 35% NDP 34% LPC 23% GPC 4% 2024-12-29 2025-01-05 CPC 36% NDP 34% LPC 23% GPC 4% 2025-01-05 2025-01-12 CPC 36% NDP 33% LPC 24% GPC 4% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 36% NDP 32% LPC 25% GPC 4% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 36% NDP 31% LPC 26% GPC 4% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 34% NDP 30% LPC 29% GPC 4% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 33% LPC 32% NDP 28% GPC 4% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 36% CPC 32% NDP 24% GPC 4% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 39% CPC 32% NDP 22% GPC 4% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 38% CPC 31% NDP 24% GPC 4% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 37% CPC 32% NDP 24% GPC 3% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 39% CPC 31% NDP 23% GPC 4% 2025-03-16 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | London Centre

LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP March 16, 2025 2024-10-13 CPC 82% NDP 15% LPC 4% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 77% NDP 18% LPC 5% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 75% NDP 20% LPC 5% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 71% NDP 24% LPC 5% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 74% NDP 19% LPC 7% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 66% NDP 23% LPC 11% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 CPC 77% NDP 19% LPC 3% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 CPC 80% NDP 18% LPC 2% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 CPC 67% NDP 32% LPC 1% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 CPC 65% NDP 35% LPC 1% 2024-12-15 2024-12-22 CPC 58% NDP 42% LPC <1% 2024-12-22 2024-12-29 CPC 59% NDP 41% LPC <1% 2024-12-29 2025-01-05 CPC 58% NDP 42% LPC <1% 2025-01-05 2025-01-12 CPC 75% NDP 25% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 77% NDP 23% LPC 1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 77% NDP 22% LPC 1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 68% NDP 18% LPC 13% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 48% LPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 76% CPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 90% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 88% CPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 82% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | London Centre



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 41.9% 37.5% 39% ± 8% CPC 21.0% 24.8% 31% ± 7% NDP 26.5% 30.4% 23% ± 6% GPC 8.1% 2.0% 4% ± 3% PPC 2.3% 5.2% 3% ± 4%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.