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Canada

London Centre



Latest projection: November 17, 2024
Toss up LPC/CPC/NDP
London Centre 33% ± 7%▼ CPC 30% ± 7% NDP 29% ± 6%▲ LPC 4% ± 3% GPC 3% ± 3% PPC LPC 2021 37.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% London Centre 66%▼ CPC 23%▲ NDP 11%▲ LPC Odds of winning | November 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | London Centre

LPC 29% ± 6% CPC 33% ± 7% NDP 30% ± 7% GPC 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | London Centre 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC November 17, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 33% NDP 32% LPC 28% GPC 4% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 33% NDP 32% LPC 28% GPC 4% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 33% NDP 31% LPC 29% GPC 4% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 32% NDP 32% LPC 29% GPC 4% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 32% NDP 32% LPC 29% GPC 4% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 NDP 32% CPC 32% LPC 29% GPC 4% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP 33% CPC 32% LPC 28% GPC 4% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 33% NDP 31% LPC 28% GPC 4% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 33% NDP 31% LPC 29% GPC 4% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 33% NDP 31% LPC 29% GPC 4% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 33% NDP 31% LPC 28% GPC 4% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 33% NDP 31% LPC 28% GPC 4% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 NDP 32% CPC 32% LPC 28% GPC 4% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 32% NDP 32% LPC 28% GPC 4% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 32% NDP 32% LPC 29% GPC 4% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 31% NDP 31% LPC 30% GPC 4% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 32% LPC 30% NDP 30% GPC 4% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 33% NDP 30% LPC 29% GPC 4% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 34% NDP 29% LPC 29% GPC 4% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 35% NDP 28% LPC 28% GPC 4% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 35% NDP 29% LPC 28% GPC 4% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 36% NDP 29% LPC 27% GPC 4% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 35% NDP 30% LPC 27% GPC 4% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 34% NDP 30% LPC 28% GPC 4% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 34% NDP 30% LPC 27% GPC 4% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 34% NDP 30% LPC 27% GPC 4% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 34% NDP 30% LPC 28% GPC 4% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 33% NDP 30% LPC 29% GPC 4% 2024-11-17

Odds of winning | London Centre

LPC 11% CPC 66% NDP 23% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP November 17, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 55% NDP 38% LPC 7% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 55% NDP 37% LPC 8% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 52% NDP 34% LPC 14% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 47% NDP 41% LPC 12% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 48% NDP 38% LPC 14% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 NDP 46% CPC 39% LPC 14% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP 54% CPC 38% LPC 8% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 55% NDP 36% LPC 9% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 53% NDP 35% LPC 12% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 58% NDP 32% LPC 10% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 61% NDP 30% LPC 10% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 CPC 60% NDP 30% LPC 10% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 NDP 47% CPC 46% LPC 7% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 CPC 48% NDP 45% LPC 7% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 CPC 46% NDP 42% LPC 12% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 CPC 41% NDP 38% LPC 20% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 CPC 58% LPC 22% NDP 20% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 CPC 61% NDP 22% LPC 16% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 CPC 79% NDP 11% LPC 10% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 CPC 86% NDP 7% LPC 7% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 CPC 87% NDP 9% LPC 4% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 CPC 87% NDP 11% LPC 2% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 CPC 82% NDP 15% LPC 4% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 CPC 77% NDP 18% LPC 5% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 CPC 75% NDP 20% LPC 5% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 CPC 71% NDP 24% LPC 5% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 CPC 74% NDP 19% LPC 7% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 CPC 66% NDP 23% LPC 11% 2024-11-17

Recent electoral history | London Centre



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 41.9% 37.5% 29% ± 6% NDP 26.5% 30.4% 30% ± 7% CPC 21.0% 24.8% 33% ± 7% PPC 2.3% 5.2% 3% ± 3% GPC 8.1% 2.0% 4% ± 3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.