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Canada


Regina–Wascana (federal)


MP: Michael Kram (CPC)


Latest projection: September 24, 2023

CPC safe hold
Regina–Wascana 53% ± 8%▲ 24% ± 6% 20% ± 6% 3% ± 2% CPC 2021 49.86% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 24, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Regina–Wascana >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | September 24, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Regina–Wascana

LPC 24% ± 6% CPC 53% ± 8% NDP 20% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Regina–Wascana 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Regina–Wascana

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Regina–Wascana



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 30.3% 49.4% 49.86% 53% ± 8% LPC 55.1% 33.6% 26.92% 24% ± 6% NDP 12.6% 12.8% 18.08% 20% ± 6% PPC 0.0% 1.0% 3.5% 1% ± 2% GPC 2.1% 2.9% 1.64% 3% ± 2% IND 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0% ± 0%