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Canada


Fleetwood–Port Kells (federal)


MP: Ken Hardie (LPC)


Latest projection: October 1, 2023

Toss up LPC/CPC
Fleetwood–Port Kells 41% ± 7%▲ 38% ± 7%▼ 16% ± 5%▲ 3% ± 3% LPC 2021 45.28% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 1, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Fleetwood–Port Kells 70%▲ 30%▼ <1% Odds of winning | October 1, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Fleetwood–Port Kells

LPC 41% ± 7% CPC 38% ± 7% NDP 16% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Fleetwood–Port Kells 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Fleetwood–Port Kells

LPC 70% CPC 30% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Fleetwood–Port Kells



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 46.9% 37.7% 45.28% 41% ± 7% CPC 29.3% 33.8% 30.82% 38% ± 7% NDP 21.5% 21.5% 18.98% 16% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 2.2% 2.72% 1% ± 2% GPC 2.4% 4.8% 1.89% 3% ± 3% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.31% 0% ± 0%