logo
Canada


Steveston–Richmond East (federal)


MP: Parm Bains (LPC)


Latest projection: February 25, 2024

CPC leaning gain
Steveston–Richmond East 43% ± 7% 37% ± 7% 15% ± 5% 4% ± 3% LPC 2021 42.48% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 25, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Steveston–Richmond East 84%▲ 16%▼ <1% Odds of winning | February 25, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Steveston–Richmond East

LPC 37% ± 7% CPC 43% ± 7% NDP 15% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Steveston–Richmond East 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Steveston–Richmond East

LPC 16% CPC 84% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Steveston–Richmond East



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 45.1% 35.1% 42.48% 37% ± 7% CPC 38.5% 41.7% 33.55% 43% ± 7% NDP 12.1% 15.1% 19.32% 15% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 0.0% 2.45% 1% ± 1% GPC 3.7% 7.1% 2.21% 4% ± 3% IND 0.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0% ± 0%