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Canada

Skeena—Bulkley Valley


MP elect: Ellis Ross (CPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
CPC likely

Candidates | Skeena—Bulkley Valley


Liberal Inderpal Dhillon
Conservative Ellis Ross
NDP Taylor Bachrach*
Green Adeana Young
Christian Heritage Rod Taylor

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Skeena—Bulkley Valley 47% ± 0%▼ CPC 39% ± 0%▲ NDP 11% ± 0%▼ LPC CPC 2025 47.2% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Skeena—Bulkley Valley 95%▼ CPC 5%▲ NDP <1% LPC Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Skeena—Bulkley Valley

LPC 11% ± 0% CPC 47% ± 0% NDP 39% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Skeena—Bulkley Valley 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 48% NDP 32% LPC 10% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 48% NDP 31% LPC 11% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 49% NDP 27% LPC 16% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 49% NDP 27% LPC 16% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 49% NDP 27% LPC 16% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 49% NDP 27% LPC 16% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 49% NDP 27% LPC 16% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 49% NDP 26% LPC 17% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 48% NDP 27% LPC 17% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 48% NDP 27% LPC 17% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 48% NDP 27% LPC 17% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 48% NDP 27% LPC 17% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 48% NDP 27% LPC 18% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 48% NDP 27% LPC 18% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 48% NDP 27% LPC 18% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 47% NDP 28% LPC 19% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 47% NDP 29% LPC 19% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 47% NDP 29% LPC 20% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 47% NDP 29% LPC 20% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 47% NDP 29% LPC 19% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 47% NDP 28% LPC 19% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 48% NDP 28% LPC 19% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 48% NDP 27% LPC 20% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 48% NDP 27% LPC 20% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 47% NDP 26% LPC 21% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 47% NDP 27% LPC 21% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 47% NDP 27% LPC 21% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 46% NDP 27% LPC 21% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 46% NDP 27% LPC 21% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 46% NDP 27% LPC 21% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 47% NDP 27% LPC 21% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 45% NDP 28% LPC 21% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 44% NDP 29% LPC 21% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 44% NDP 29% LPC 21% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 45% NDP 28% LPC 21% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 45% NDP 28% LPC 22% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 46% NDP 29% LPC 20% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 46% NDP 28% LPC 21% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 46% NDP 27% LPC 21% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 47% NDP 27% LPC 21% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 47% NDP 27% LPC 21% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 47% NDP 26% LPC 21% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 49% NDP 28% LPC 18% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 47% NDP 39% LPC 11% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Skeena—Bulkley Valley

LPC <1% CPC 95% NDP 5% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 95% NDP 5% LPC <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Skeena—Bulkley Valley



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 47% ± 0% 33.2% 36.1% 47.2% NDP 39% ± 0% 40.9% 42.6% 39.3% LPC 11% ± 0% 11.6% 7.7% 11.0% IND 1% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% GPC 1% ± 0% 7.9% 3.8% 1.2% PPC 0% ± 0% 2.3% 7.7% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.