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Canada

Skeena—Bulkley Valley



Latest projection: April 21, 2025
CPC likely

Candidates | Skeena—Bulkley Valley


Liberal Inderpal Dhillon
Conservative Ellis Ross
NDP Taylor Bachrach*
Green Adeana Young
Christian Heritage Rod Taylor

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Skeena—Bulkley Valley 45% ± 9% CPC 28% ± 8% NDP 22% ± 6%▲ LPC 3% ± 3% GPC NDP 2021 42.6% 338Canada vote projection | April 21, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Skeena—Bulkley Valley >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC Odds of winning | April 21, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Skeena—Bulkley Valley

LPC 22% ± 6% CPC 45% ± 9% NDP 28% ± 8% GPC 3% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Skeena—Bulkley Valley 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP GPC April 21, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 48% NDP 32% LPC 10% GPC 7% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 48% NDP 31% LPC 11% GPC 7% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 49% NDP 27% LPC 16% GPC 7% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 49% NDP 27% LPC 16% GPC 6% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 49% NDP 27% LPC 16% GPC 6% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 49% NDP 27% LPC 16% GPC 6% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 49% NDP 27% LPC 16% GPC 6% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 49% NDP 26% LPC 17% GPC 6% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 48% NDP 27% LPC 17% GPC 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 48% NDP 27% LPC 17% GPC 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 48% NDP 27% LPC 17% GPC 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 48% NDP 27% LPC 17% GPC 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 48% NDP 27% LPC 18% GPC 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 48% NDP 27% LPC 18% GPC 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 48% NDP 27% LPC 18% GPC 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 47% NDP 28% LPC 19% GPC 4% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 47% NDP 29% LPC 19% GPC 3% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 47% NDP 29% LPC 20% GPC 3% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 47% NDP 29% LPC 20% GPC 3% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 47% NDP 29% LPC 19% GPC 3% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 47% NDP 28% LPC 19% GPC 3% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 48% NDP 28% LPC 19% GPC 3% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 48% NDP 27% LPC 20% GPC 3% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 48% NDP 27% LPC 20% GPC 3% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 47% NDP 26% LPC 21% GPC 4% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 47% NDP 27% LPC 21% GPC 4% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 47% NDP 27% LPC 21% GPC 4% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 46% NDP 27% LPC 21% GPC 4% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 46% NDP 27% LPC 21% GPC 4% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 46% NDP 27% LPC 21% GPC 4% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 47% NDP 27% LPC 21% GPC 4% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 45% NDP 28% LPC 21% GPC 3% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 44% NDP 29% LPC 21% GPC 4% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 44% NDP 29% LPC 21% GPC 4% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 45% NDP 28% LPC 21% GPC 3% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 45% NDP 28% LPC 22% GPC 3% 2025-04-21 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Skeena—Bulkley Valley

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 21, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-21 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Skeena—Bulkley Valley



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 33.2% 36.1% 45% ± 9% NDP 40.9% 42.6% 28% ± 8% LPC 11.6% 7.7% 22% ± 6% GPC 7.9% 3.8% 3% ± 3% IND 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2% PPC 2.3% 7.7% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.