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Canada


Northumberland–Peterborough South (federal)


MP: Philip Lawrence (CPC)


Latest projection: March 19, 2023

CPC safe hold
Northumberland–Peterborough South 48% ± 8% CPC 26% ± 6% LPC 17% ± 5% NDP 5% ± 4% GPC 3% ± 3% PPC CPC 2021 44.48% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 19, 2023
50% 100% Northumberland–Peterborough South >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 19, 2023


Popular vote projection | Northumberland–Peterborough South

LPC 26% ± 6% CPC 48% ± 8% NDP 17% ± 5% GPC 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Northumberland–Peterborough South 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Northumberland–Peterborough South

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Northumberland–Peterborough South



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 39.6% 39.7% 44.48% 48% ± 8% LPC 42.5% 36.2% 33.46% 26% ± 6% NDP 14.8% 13.9% 14.07% 17% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 2.1% 5.45% 3% ± 3% GPC 3.1% 8.0% 2.54% 5% ± 4% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%