338Canada | Spadina–Fort York (Ontario federal district)




35101 - Spadina–Fort York

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 115,505 residents
Population density: 9263 pop./km² (rank: 6 of 338)
Median household income: $76 270 (rank: 114 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Kevin Vuoung (IND)



Latest projection (October 24, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Spadina–Fort York

Last update: October 24, 2021







Odds of winning | Spadina–Fort York

Last update: October 24, 2021






Electoral history of Spadina–Fort York



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Spadina–Fort York



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Spadina–Fort York


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
42.4% ± 7.3% 38.9% Within confidence interval
31.4% ± 6.6% 34.5% Within confidence interval
17.7% ± 4.9% 20.2% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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