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Spadina–Fort York (federal)
MP: Kevin Vuoung (IND)
Latest projection: January 29, 2023
LPC leaning hold
Spadina–Fort York
39% ± 8%
LPC
32% ± 7%
NDP
20% ± 6%
CPC
7% ± 4%
GPC
LPC 2021
38.9%
338Canada Popular vote projection | January 29, 2023
50%
100%
Spadina–Fort York
84%
LPC
16%
NDP
<1%
CPC
Odds of winning | January 29, 2023
Popular vote projection | Spadina–Fort York
LPC 39% ± 8%
CPC 20% ± 6%
NDP 32% ± 7%
GPC 7% ± 4%
Popular vote projection % | Spadina–Fort York
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Odds of winning | Spadina–Fort York
LPC 84%
CPC <1%
NDP 16%
GPC <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Recent electoral history | Spadina–Fort York
2015
2019
2021
Proj.
LPC
54.7%
55.8%
38.9%
39% ± 8%
NDP
27.3%
20.1%
34.48%
32% ± 7%
CPC
15.7%
17.6%
20.23%
20% ± 6%
GPC
2.1%
5.2%
3.37%
7% ± 4%
PPC
0.0%
1.1%
3.02%
2% ± 2%
BQ
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0% ± 0%