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GTA-905
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35101 - Spadina–Fort York

Province: Ontario

Population (2016): 115,505 residents

Population density: 9263 pop./km² (rank: 6 of 338)

Median household income: $76 270 (rank: 114 of 338)

Member of Parliament: Adam Vaughan (LPC)

Latest projection (July 25, 2021)

Federal vote projection | Spadina–Fort York

Last update: July 25, 2021

Odds of winning | Spadina–Fort York

Last update: July 25, 2021

Electoral history of Spadina–Fort York

(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)

Map of Spadina–Fort York

(Credits: Elections Canada)

Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Spadina–Fort York

On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.

Spadina–Fort York

	Final 2019 Projection	2019 Result	The Record
Winner			Correct winner
	45.3% ± 9.3%	55.8%	Outside confidence interval
	31.1% ± 8.8%	20.1%	Outside confidence interval
	16.1% ± 5.7%	17.6%	Within confidence interval

*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.

Province:	Ontario
Population (2016):	115,505 residents
Population density:	9263 pop./km² (rank: 6 of 338)
Median household income:	$76 270 (rank: 114 of 338)
Member of Parliament:	Adam Vaughan (LPC)