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Canada


Spadina–Fort York (federal)


MP: Kevin Vuoung (IND)


Latest projection: January 29, 2023

LPC leaning hold
Spadina–Fort York 39% ± 8% LPC 32% ± 7% NDP 20% ± 6% CPC 7% ± 4% GPC LPC 2021 38.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 29, 2023
50% 100% Spadina–Fort York 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% CPC Odds of winning | January 29, 2023


Popular vote projection | Spadina–Fort York

LPC 39% ± 8% CPC 20% ± 6% NDP 32% ± 7% GPC 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Spadina–Fort York 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Spadina–Fort York

LPC 84% CPC <1% NDP 16% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Spadina–Fort York



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 54.7% 55.8% 38.9% 39% ± 8% NDP 27.3% 20.1% 34.48% 32% ± 7% CPC 15.7% 17.6% 20.23% 20% ± 6% GPC 2.1% 5.2% 3.37% 7% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.1% 3.02% 2% ± 2% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%