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Canada

Calgary Crowfoot



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
CPC leaning

Candidates | Calgary Crowfoot


Liberal Shahnaz Munir
Conservative Pat Kelly*
NDP Jim Samuelson
Green Nanette Nerland
PPC Yvonne Snyder
Independent Lachlan Van Egmond

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Calgary Crowfoot 48% ± 8% CPC 41% ± 8% LPC 6% ± 4% NDP CPC 2021 54.9% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary Crowfoot 83%▼ CPC 17%▲ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Calgary Crowfoot

LPC 41% ± 8% CPC 48% ± 8% NDP 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Calgary Crowfoot 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 53% LPC 24% NDP 13% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 49% LPC 30% NDP 11% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 47% LPC 37% NDP 9% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 46% LPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 46% LPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 46% LPC 37% NDP 9% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 46% LPC 37% NDP 9% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 47% LPC 37% NDP 9% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 47% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 47% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 47% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 48% LPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 49% LPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 49% LPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 49% LPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 49% LPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 49% LPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 51% LPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 51% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 50% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 49% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 49% LPC 41% NDP 6% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 48% LPC 41% NDP 6% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 48% LPC 41% NDP 6% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 48% LPC 41% NDP 6% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 48% LPC 41% NDP 6% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Calgary Crowfoot

LPC 17% CPC 83% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Calgary Crowfoot



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 67.9% 54.9% 48% ± 8% LPC 18.4% 21.7% 41% ± 8% NDP 8.7% 16.2% 6% ± 4% GPC 3.0% 1.7% 2% ± 2% PPC 1.6% 4.6% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.