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Calgary Heritage


MP elect: Shuv Majumdar (CPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
CPC safe

Candidates | Calgary Heritage


Liberal Scott Arnott
Conservative Shuv Majumdar*
NDP Becki Zimmerman
Green Ravenmoon Crocker
Christian Heritage Larry Heather
Independent Chris Galas

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Calgary Heritage 61% ± 0%▲ CPC 35% ± 0%▼ LPC CPC 2025 61.4% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary Heritage >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Calgary Heritage

LPC 35% ± 0% CPC 61% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Calgary Heritage 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 60% LPC 20% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 56% LPC 25% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 53% LPC 31% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 53% LPC 32% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 52% LPC 32% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 52% LPC 32% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 52% LPC 31% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 53% LPC 31% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 53% LPC 32% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 53% LPC 32% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 53% LPC 32% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 54% LPC 32% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 54% LPC 32% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 55% LPC 32% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 55% LPC 32% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 55% LPC 32% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 56% LPC 33% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 56% LPC 33% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 56% LPC 33% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 56% LPC 33% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 56% LPC 34% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 56% LPC 33% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 56% LPC 34% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 56% LPC 34% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 54% LPC 34% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 54% LPC 35% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 54% LPC 35% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 54% LPC 35% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 54% LPC 35% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 53% LPC 35% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 53% LPC 35% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 53% LPC 35% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 53% LPC 35% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 53% LPC 35% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 55% LPC 35% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 55% LPC 35% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 55% LPC 35% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 54% LPC 36% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 54% LPC 36% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 54% LPC 36% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 54% LPC 36% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 54% LPC 36% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 53% LPC 37% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 61% LPC 35% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Calgary Heritage

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Calgary Heritage



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 61% ± 0% 71.4% 58.3% 61.4% LPC 35% ± 0% 13.6% 16.2% 34.6% NDP 2% ± 0% 9.0% 17.3% 2.5% IND 1% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% GPC 1% ± 0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.7% PPC 0% ± 0% 2.0% 5.1% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.