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Canada

Lethbridge


MP elect: Rachael Thomas (CPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
CPC safe

Candidates | Lethbridge


Liberal Christopher Spearman
Conservative Rachael Thomas*
NDP Nathan Svoboda
Green Amber Murray
PPC Clara Piedalue
Christian Heritage Marc Slingerland

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Lethbridge 61% ± 0%▲ CPC 33% ± 0%▲ LPC 4% ± 0%▼ NDP CPC 2025 60.8% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Lethbridge >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Lethbridge

LPC 33% ± 0% CPC 61% ± 0% NDP 4% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Lethbridge 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 62% NDP 18% LPC 16% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 59% LPC 21% NDP 16% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 59% LPC 25% NDP 13% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 58% LPC 26% NDP 13% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 58% LPC 26% NDP 13% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 58% LPC 26% NDP 13% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 58% LPC 26% NDP 13% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 58% LPC 25% NDP 14% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 58% LPC 26% NDP 12% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 59% LPC 26% NDP 12% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 59% LPC 27% NDP 12% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 60% LPC 25% NDP 11% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 61% LPC 25% NDP 11% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 61% LPC 25% NDP 11% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 62% LPC 25% NDP 10% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 62% LPC 25% NDP 10% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 63% LPC 25% NDP 10% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 63% LPC 25% NDP 9% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 63% LPC 25% NDP 9% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 63% LPC 25% NDP 9% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 63% LPC 25% NDP 9% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 64% LPC 25% NDP 9% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 64% LPC 25% NDP 8% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 66% LPC 24% NDP 8% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 64% LPC 24% NDP 8% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 60% LPC 28% NDP 8% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 59% LPC 28% NDP 8% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 59% LPC 28% NDP 8% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 60% LPC 28% NDP 8% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 59% LPC 28% NDP 8% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 59% LPC 28% NDP 8% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 59% LPC 28% NDP 8% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 59% LPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 59% LPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 60% LPC 28% NDP 8% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 61% LPC 27% NDP 8% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 61% LPC 27% NDP 8% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 61% LPC 28% NDP 8% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 60% LPC 28% NDP 8% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 60% LPC 28% NDP 8% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 61% LPC 28% NDP 8% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 60% LPC 28% NDP 8% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 60% LPC 29% NDP 8% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 61% LPC 33% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Lethbridge

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Lethbridge



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 61% ± 0% 65.8% 55.6% 60.8% LPC 33% ± 0% 13.6% 15.1% 32.9% NDP 4% ± 0% 14.7% 19.3% 3.6% IND 1% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% PPC 1% ± 0% 1.6% 6.9% 0.7% GPC 1% ± 0% 3.1% 0.0% 0.7%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.