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Canada

Outremont



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Outremont


Liberal Rachel Bendayan*
Conservative Ronan Reich
NDP Eve Peclet
Green Jonathan Pedneault
Bloc Quebecois Remi Lebeuf

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Outremont 59% ± 9% LPC 13% ± 5% NDP 10% ± 5% CPC 10% ± 6% GPC 9% ± 4% BQ LPC 2021 44.4% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Outremont >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Outremont

LPC 59% ± 9% CPC 10% ± 5% NDP 13% ± 5% GPC 10% ± 6% BQ 9% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Outremont 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 47% NDP 20% BQ 14% CPC 12% GPC 5% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 50% NDP 19% BQ 13% CPC 11% GPC 5% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 52% NDP 18% BQ 12% CPC 11% GPC 5% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 53% NDP 17% BQ 12% CPC 11% GPC 5% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 53% NDP 17% BQ 12% CPC 11% GPC 5% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 53% NDP 17% BQ 12% CPC 11% GPC 5% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 53% NDP 17% BQ 13% CPC 11% GPC 5% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 53% NDP 17% BQ 13% CPC 11% GPC 5% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 56% NDP 14% BQ 12% CPC 10% GPC 5% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 57% NDP 14% BQ 12% CPC 10% GPC 5% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 57% NDP 14% BQ 12% CPC 10% GPC 5% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 58% NDP 13% BQ 12% CPC 10% GPC 5% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 58% NDP 13% BQ 11% CPC 11% GPC 4% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 59% NDP 13% BQ 11% CPC 11% GPC 4% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 59% NDP 13% BQ 11% CPC 11% GPC 4% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 61% NDP 13% CPC 11% BQ 10% GPC 3% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 62% NDP 13% CPC 11% BQ 10% GPC 3% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 63% NDP 13% CPC 11% BQ 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 63% NDP 12% CPC 11% BQ 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 63% NDP 12% CPC 11% BQ 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 63% NDP 12% CPC 11% BQ 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 63% NDP 12% CPC 11% BQ 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 63% NDP 12% CPC 10% BQ 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 63% NDP 13% CPC 10% BQ 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 65% NDP 13% CPC 10% BQ 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 64% NDP 13% CPC 10% BQ 9% GPC 3% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 59% NDP 12% CPC 10% BQ 9% GPC 9% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 59% NDP 12% CPC 10% BQ 9% GPC 9% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 59% NDP 13% CPC 10% GPC 10% BQ 9% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 59% NDP 13% CPC 10% GPC 10% BQ 9% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Outremont

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Outremont



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 46.0% 44.4% 59% ± 9% NDP 20.7% 27.3% 13% ± 5% CPC 6.1% 7.3% 10% ± 5% GPC 11.5% 3.1% 10% ± 6% BQ 14.5% 15.4% 9% ± 4% PPC 0.8% 2.1% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.