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Canada

Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie


MP elect: Alexandre Boulerice (NDP)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
NDP likely

Candidates | Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie


Liberal Jean-Sebastien Vallee
Conservative Laetitia Tchatat
NDP Alexandre Boulerice*
Green Benoit Morham
Bloc Quebecois Olivier Gignac
Rhinoceros Maxime Richard

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie 41% ± 6%▲ NDP 32% ± 5%▲ LPC 18% ± 4%▲ BQ 7% ± 3%▼ CPC NDP 2025 41.0% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie 98% NDP 2% LPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie

LPC 32% ± 5% CPC 7% ± 3% NDP 41% ± 6% BQ 18% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 NDP 52% BQ 24% LPC 12% CPC 8% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 NDP 52% BQ 23% LPC 12% CPC 8% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 NDP 52% BQ 23% LPC 12% CPC 8% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 NDP 52% BQ 23% LPC 12% CPC 8% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 NDP 49% BQ 22% LPC 16% CPC 7% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 NDP 46% BQ 22% LPC 19% CPC 8% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 NDP 44% BQ 22% LPC 21% CPC 8% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 NDP 44% LPC 23% BQ 21% CPC 7% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 NDP 44% LPC 23% BQ 20% CPC 7% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP 44% LPC 25% BQ 19% CPC 7% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 NDP 43% LPC 26% BQ 19% CPC 7% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 NDP 43% LPC 26% BQ 18% CPC 7% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 43% LPC 26% BQ 18% CPC 7% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 NDP 43% LPC 26% BQ 18% CPC 7% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 NDP 43% LPC 26% BQ 19% CPC 7% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 42% LPC 26% BQ 19% CPC 7% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 NDP 42% LPC 27% BQ 18% CPC 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 NDP 42% LPC 28% BQ 18% CPC 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 NDP 41% LPC 28% BQ 18% CPC 7% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 NDP 41% LPC 29% BQ 18% CPC 7% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 NDP 41% LPC 29% BQ 17% CPC 7% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 NDP 41% LPC 29% BQ 17% CPC 7% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 NDP 42% LPC 29% BQ 17% CPC 7% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 NDP 44% LPC 30% BQ 15% CPC 7% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 NDP 45% LPC 30% BQ 14% CPC 7% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 NDP 45% LPC 30% BQ 14% CPC 7% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 NDP 46% LPC 30% BQ 14% CPC 7% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 NDP 45% LPC 30% BQ 14% CPC 7% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 NDP 45% LPC 31% BQ 14% CPC 7% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 NDP 45% LPC 31% BQ 13% CPC 7% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 NDP 46% LPC 31% BQ 14% CPC 6% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 NDP 46% LPC 30% BQ 14% CPC 6% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 NDP 45% LPC 30% BQ 13% CPC 6% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 NDP 46% LPC 30% BQ 13% CPC 6% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 NDP 46% LPC 30% BQ 13% CPC 6% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 NDP 47% LPC 29% BQ 13% CPC 6% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 NDP 47% LPC 29% BQ 13% CPC 6% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 NDP 47% LPC 29% BQ 13% CPC 6% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 NDP 47% LPC 28% BQ 13% CPC 6% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 NDP 47% LPC 28% BQ 13% CPC 6% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 NDP 47% LPC 28% BQ 13% CPC 6% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 NDP 47% LPC 28% BQ 14% CPC 6% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 NDP 47% LPC 28% BQ 14% CPC 7% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 NDP 46% LPC 28% BQ 14% CPC 7% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 NDP 46% LPC 28% BQ 14% CPC 7% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 NDP 45% LPC 30% BQ 15% CPC 4% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 NDP 46% LPC 29% BQ 15% CPC 4% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 NDP 46% LPC 29% BQ 15% CPC 4% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 NDP 46% LPC 28% BQ 15% CPC 4% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 NDP 46% LPC 28% BQ 15% CPC 5% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 44% LPC 29% BQ 17% CPC 4% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 NDP 36% LPC 28% BQ 17% CPC 17% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 NDP 36% LPC 28% BQ 17% CPC 17% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 NDP 36% LPC 28% CPC 17% BQ 17% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 NDP 41% LPC 32% BQ 18% CPC 7% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie

LPC 2% CPC <1% NDP 98% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 NDP 98% LPC 2% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 NDP 97% LPC 3% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 NDP 98% LPC 2% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 NDP 98% LPC 2% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 NDP 98% LPC 2% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie



2019 2021 2025 Proj. NDP 41% ± 6% 42.5% 48.6% 41.0% LPC 32% ± 5% 24.2% 23.2% 31.6% BQ 18% ± 4% 23.8% 21.4% 18.3% CPC 7% ± 3% 2.3% 4.0% 6.9% GPC 2% ± 2% 5.9% 2.4% 2.3% PPC 0% ± 0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.