logo
Canada

Recent electoral history | Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie


2019 2021 2025 Projection NDP 42% ± 8% 42.5% 48.6% 41.0% LPC 29% ± 6% 24.2% 23.2% 31.6% BQ 17% ± 5% 23.8% 21.4% 18.3% CPC 6% ± 3% 2.3% 4.0% 6.9% GPC 4% ± 3% 5.9% 2.4% 2.3%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Canada flag

338Canada Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie projection

Latest update: March 1, 2026

Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie 34% 50% 42% ± 8% NDP 23% 36% 29% ± 6% LPC 12% 22% 17% ± 5% BQ 3% 9% 6% ± 3% CPC 1% 7% 4% ± 3% GPC NDP 2025 41.0% 338Canada vote projection | March 1, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | March 1, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie

LPC 29% ± 6% CPC 6% ± 3% NDP 42% ± 8% GPC 4% ± 3% BQ 17% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ PPC March 1, 2026 2025-04-26 NDP 46% LPC 28% BQ 15% CPC 4% GPC 3% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 NDP 46% LPC 28% BQ 15% CPC 5% GPC 3% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 44% LPC 29% BQ 17% CPC 4% GPC 3% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 NDP 36% LPC 28% BQ 17% CPC 17% GPC 2% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 NDP 36% LPC 28% BQ 17% CPC 17% GPC 2% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 NDP 36% LPC 28% CPC 17% BQ 17% GPC 2% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 NDP 41% LPC 32% BQ 18% CPC 7% GPC 2% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 NDP 41% LPC 32% BQ 18% CPC 7% GPC 2% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 NDP 41% LPC 31% BQ 18% CPC 7% GPC 2% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 NDP 42% LPC 31% BQ 18% CPC 7% GPC 2% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 NDP 42% LPC 31% BQ 18% CPC 6% GPC 2% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 NDP 42% LPC 32% BQ 17% CPC 6% GPC 2% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 NDP 43% LPC 33% BQ 16% CPC 6% GPC 2% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 NDP 43% LPC 33% BQ 16% CPC 6% GPC 2% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 NDP 44% LPC 33% BQ 16% CPC 6% GPC 2% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 NDP 43% LPC 33% BQ 16% CPC 6% GPC 2% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 NDP 44% LPC 32% BQ 16% CPC 5% GPC 2% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 NDP 45% LPC 31% BQ 15% CPC 5% GPC 2% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 NDP 46% LPC 31% BQ 16% CPC 6% GPC 2% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 NDP 46% LPC 30% BQ 16% CPC 5% GPC 2% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 NDP 46% LPC 30% BQ 16% CPC 5% GPC 2% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 NDP 47% LPC 29% BQ 16% CPC 5% GPC 3% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 NDP 46% LPC 29% BQ 16% CPC 6% GPC 3% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 NDP 45% LPC 29% BQ 16% CPC 6% GPC 3% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 NDP 45% LPC 29% BQ 17% CPC 6% GPC 3% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 NDP 45% LPC 29% BQ 16% CPC 6% GPC 3% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 NDP 44% LPC 29% BQ 17% CPC 6% GPC 3% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 NDP 44% LPC 29% BQ 17% CPC 6% GPC 3% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 NDP 44% LPC 28% BQ 17% CPC 6% GPC 3% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 NDP 45% LPC 28% BQ 17% CPC 6% GPC 3% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 NDP 45% LPC 28% BQ 17% CPC 6% GPC 3% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 NDP 45% LPC 28% BQ 17% CPC 6% GPC 3% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 NDP 45% LPC 28% BQ 17% CPC 6% GPC 3% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 NDP 45% LPC 28% BQ 17% CPC 6% GPC 3% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 NDP 44% LPC 28% BQ 18% CPC 6% GPC 3% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 NDP 45% LPC 27% BQ 18% CPC 6% GPC 3% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 NDP 45% LPC 26% BQ 18% CPC 6% GPC 3% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 NDP 46% LPC 26% BQ 18% CPC 6% GPC 4% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 NDP 46% LPC 26% BQ 18% CPC 6% GPC 4% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 NDP 46% LPC 25% BQ 18% CPC 5% GPC 4% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 NDP 46% LPC 25% BQ 18% CPC 5% GPC 4% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 NDP 46% LPC 25% BQ 18% CPC 6% GPC 4% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 NDP 44% LPC 28% BQ 16% CPC 6% GPC 4% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 NDP 42% LPC 29% BQ 17% CPC 7% GPC 4% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 NDP 42% LPC 30% BQ 17% CPC 6% GPC 4% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 NDP 42% LPC 30% BQ 17% CPC 6% GPC 4% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 NDP 42% LPC 29% BQ 17% CPC 6% GPC 4% 2026-03-01

Odds of winning | Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie

LPC 1% CPC <1% NDP 99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP March 1, 2026 2025-04-26 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 NDP 98% LPC 2% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 NDP 98% LPC 2% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 NDP 94% LPC 6% CPC <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 NDP 94% LPC 6% CPC <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 NDP 96% LPC 4% CPC <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 NDP 97% LPC 3% CPC <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 NDP 95% LPC 5% CPC <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 NDP 95% LPC 5% CPC <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 NDP 96% LPC 4% CPC <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 NDP 96% LPC 4% CPC <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 NDP 95% LPC 5% CPC <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 NDP 97% LPC 3% CPC <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 NDP 98% LPC 2% CPC <1% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 NDP 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% 2026-03-01


Flag of Canada

Demographic data | Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 83.7% French 7.9% English 2.7% Spanish 1.0% Arabic 0.7% Portuguese 0.7% Vietnamese 0.4% MandarinRosemont—La Petite-PatrieSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 6.2% No diploma 10.9% High school 8.8% Trade 15.8% College / Cégep 4.6% Some university 28.1% Bachelor's 25.4% PostgraduateRosemont—La Petite-PatrieSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 81.4% Not visible minority 18.6% Visible minority 5.1% Black 4.3% Latin American 3.6% Arab 1.7% Southeast Asian 1.3% Chinese 0.9% South AsianRosemont—La Petite-PatrieSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 50.1% No Religion 35.4% Catholic 5.6% Muslim 3.6% Christian (n.o.s.) 1.0% Buddhist 1.0% Orthodox 0.9% Other Christian 0.6% Other ReligionsRosemont—La Petite-PatrieSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 68.6% Renter 31.4% OwnerRosemont—La Petite-PatrieSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 66.7% Employed 27.3% Not in labour force 6.0% UnemployedRosemont—La Petite-PatrieSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 98.9% Non-Indigenous 1.1% Indigenous identity 0.6% First Nations 0.5% Metis 0.1% OthersRosemont—La Petite-PatrieSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 43.8% Car / truck / van 30.1% Public transit 14.3% Walking 10.2% Bicycle 1.5% OtherRosemont—La Petite-PatrieSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.