logo
Canada

Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie



Latest projection: January 19, 2025
NDP safe
Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie 52% ± 8% NDP 23% ± 6%▼ BQ 12% ± 5% LPC 8% ± 4% CPC 5% ± 4% GPC NDP 2021 48.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 19, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie >99% NDP <1% BQ <1% LPC Odds of winning | January 19, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Recent electoral history | Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie



2019 2021 Proj. NDP 42.5% 48.6% 52% ± 8% BQ 23.8% 21.4% 23% ± 6% LPC 24.2% 23.2% 12% ± 5% CPC 2.3% 4.0% 8% ± 4% GPC 5.9% 2.4% 5% ± 4% PPC 0.5% 0.0% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.