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Canada


Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie


Latest projection: June 9, 2024
NDP safe
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie 50% ± 8% NDP 20% ± 5%▼ BQ 17% ± 5% LPC 7% ± 3% CPC 6% ± 4% GPC NDP 2021 48.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie >99% NDP <1% BQ <1% LPC Odds of winning | June 9, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie

LPC 17% ± 5% CPC 7% ± 3% NDP 50% ± 8% GPC 6% ± 4% BQ 20% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ June 9, 2024

Odds of winning | Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie

LPC <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC NDP June 9, 2024

Recent electoral history | Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie



2019 2021 Proj. NDP 42.5% 48.6% 50% ± 8% LPC 24.2% 23.2% 17% ± 5% BQ 23.8% 21.4% 20% ± 5% CPC 2.3% 4.0% 7% ± 3% GPC 5.9% 2.4% 6% ± 4% PPC 0.5% 0.0% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.