338Canada | Toronto Centre (Ontario federal district)





35108 - Toronto Centre

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 103,805 residents
Population density: 17775 pop./km² (rank: 1 of 338)
Median household income: $50 462 (rank: 320 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Marci Ien



Latest projection (January 23, 2022)

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Federal vote projection | Toronto Centre

Last update: January 23, 2022






Odds of winning | Toronto Centre

Last update: January 23, 2022









Electoral history of Toronto Centre



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Toronto Centre



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Toronto Centre


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
40.7% ± 7.0% 50.3% Outside confidence interval
23.4% ± 5.6% 26.0% Within confidence interval
11.5% ± 3.9% 12.1% Within confidence interval
18.6% ± 5.3% 8.5% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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