338Canada | Toronto Centre (Ontario federal district)




35108 - Toronto Centre

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 103,805 residents
Population density: 17775 pop./km² (rank: 1 of 338)
Median household income: $50 462 (rank: 320 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Marci Ien



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Toronto Centre


Marci Ien
Ryan Lester
Brian Chang
Annamie Paul
Syed Jaffery
Ivan Byard (Comm.)
Peter Stubbins (Animal)





Federal vote projection | Toronto Centre

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Toronto Centre

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Toronto Centre



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Toronto Centre



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Toronto Centre


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
46.4% ± 9.2% 57.4% Outside confidence interval
31.2% ± 8.7% 22.3% Outside confidence interval
13.8% ± 5.0% 12.1% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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