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Canada


Timmins–James Bay (federal)


MP: Charlie Angus (NDP)


Latest projection: September 24, 2023

NDP leaning hold
Timmins–James Bay 39% ± 8% 35% ± 7% 18% ± 5%▲ 8% ± 5% NDP 2021 35.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 24, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Timmins–James Bay 74% 26% <1% Odds of winning | September 24, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Timmins–James Bay

LPC 18% ± 5% CPC 35% ± 7% NDP 39% ± 8% PPC 8% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Timmins–James Bay 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP PPC

Odds of winning | Timmins–James Bay

LPC <1% CPC 26% NDP 74% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Timmins–James Bay



2015 2019 2021 Proj. NDP 42.9% 40.5% 35.1% 39% ± 8% CPC 20.4% 27.0% 27.34% 35% ± 7% LPC 34.7% 25.7% 24.44% 18% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 3.4% 13.13% 8% ± 5% GPC 2.0% 3.4% 0.0% 1% ± 1%