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Canada

Pickering—Brooklin



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Pickering—Brooklin


Liberal Juanita Nathan
Conservative Alicia Vianga
NDP Jamie David Nye
Green Andrea Wood
PPC Lisa Robinson
Centrist Zainab Rana

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Pickering—Brooklin 57% ± 8% LPC 35% ± 8% CPC 5% ± 4% NDP LPC 2021 48.2% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Pickering—Brooklin >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Pickering—Brooklin

LPC 57% ± 8% CPC 35% ± 8% NDP 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Pickering—Brooklin 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 47% CPC 40% NDP 10% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 50% CPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 52% CPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 53% CPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 53% CPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 53% CPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 53% CPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 53% CPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 55% CPC 36% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 56% CPC 35% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 56% CPC 35% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 56% CPC 35% NDP 6% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 56% CPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 57% CPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 58% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 57% CPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 57% CPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 57% CPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 57% CPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 56% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 57% CPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 57% CPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 56% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 56% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 57% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 57% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 57% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 57% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-15 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Pickering—Brooklin

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 87% CPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Pickering—Brooklin



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 51.5% 48.2% 57% ± 8% CPC 29.0% 34.3% 35% ± 8% NDP 12.5% 13.5% 5% ± 4% PPC 1.9% 3.8% 1% ± 2% GPC 5.1% 0.2% 0% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.