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Canada


Richmond Hill (federal)


MP: Majid Jowhari (LPC)


Latest projection: October 1, 2023

CPC leaning gain
Richmond Hill 47% ± 7%▲ 42% ± 7%▼ 9% ± 4% LPC 2021 47.71% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 1, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Richmond Hill 78%▲ 22%▼ <1% Odds of winning | October 1, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Richmond Hill

LPC 42% ± 7% CPC 47% ± 7% NDP 9% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Richmond Hill 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Richmond Hill

LPC 22% CPC 78% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Richmond Hill



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 46.9% 43.5% 47.71% 42% ± 7% CPC 43.3% 43.1% 38.8% 47% ± 7% NDP 8.0% 8.8% 8.75% 9% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.0% 2.98% 2% ± 2% IND 0.0% 0.0% 1.76% 0% ± 0% GPC 1.7% 3.4% 0.0% 1% ± 1%