338Canada | Surrey Centre (British Columbia federal district)





59032 - Surrey Centre

Province: British Columbia
Population (2016): 120,170 residents
Population density: 2979 pop./km² (rank: 51 of 338)
Median household income: $61 620 (rank: 239 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Randeep Sarai (LPC)



Latest projection (January 16, 2022)

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Federal vote projection | Surrey Centre

Last update: January 16, 2022






Odds of winning | Surrey Centre

Last update: January 16, 2022









Electoral history of Surrey Centre



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Surrey Centre



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Surrey Centre


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
34.8% ± 6.5% 44.0% Outside confidence interval
28.9% ± 6.1% 27.7% Within confidence interval
23.4% ± 5.4% 21.1% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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