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Surrey Newton



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Surrey Newton


Liberal Sukh Dhaliwal*
Conservative Harjit Singh Gill
NDP Raj Singh Toor
PPC Ian Kennedy
Communist Salman Zafar

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Surrey Newton 57% ± 9% LPC 29% ± 8% CPC 10% ± 5% NDP LPC 2021 54.4% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Surrey Newton >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Surrey Newton

LPC 57% ± 9% CPC 29% ± 8% NDP 10% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Surrey Newton 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 55% CPC 23% NDP 19% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 54% CPC 26% NDP 17% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 59% CPC 26% NDP 13% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 60% CPC 26% NDP 13% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 60% CPC 26% NDP 12% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 60% CPC 26% NDP 12% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 60% CPC 26% NDP 12% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 60% CPC 26% NDP 12% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 62% CPC 25% NDP 10% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 62% CPC 25% NDP 10% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 63% CPC 25% NDP 10% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 63% CPC 25% NDP 10% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 64% CPC 25% NDP 10% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 64% CPC 25% NDP 9% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 64% CPC 25% NDP 9% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 66% CPC 24% NDP 9% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 67% CPC 23% NDP 8% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 67% CPC 23% NDP 8% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 67% CPC 23% NDP 8% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 67% CPC 23% NDP 8% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 66% CPC 24% NDP 8% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 64% CPC 26% NDP 9% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 64% CPC 26% NDP 9% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 63% CPC 27% NDP 9% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 60% CPC 27% NDP 10% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 61% CPC 26% NDP 10% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 61% CPC 26% NDP 10% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 58% CPC 29% NDP 10% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 57% CPC 29% NDP 10% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 57% CPC 29% NDP 10% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Surrey Newton

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Surrey Newton



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 45.4% 54.4% 57% ± 9% CPC 20.4% 15.2% 29% ± 8% NDP 29.5% 26.1% 10% ± 5% PPC 1.5% 2.6% 1% ± 2% GPC 3.2% 0.0% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.