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All 338 electoral districts
Atlantic Canada
Quebec
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Laurier–Sainte-Marie (federal)
MP: Steven Guilbeault (LPC)
Latest projection: February 5, 2023
LPC likely hold
Laurier–Sainte-Marie
41% ± 7%
LPC
31% ± 7%
NDP
20% ± 6%
BQ
5% ± 4%
GPC
2% ± 2%
CPC
LPC 2021
37.91%
338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50%
100%
Laurier–Sainte-Marie
95%
LPC
4%
NDP
<1%
BQ
Odds of winning | February 5, 2023
Popular vote projection | Laurier–Sainte-Marie
LPC 41% ± 7%
NDP 31% ± 7%
GPC 5% ± 4%
BQ 20% ± 6%
Popular vote projection % | Laurier–Sainte-Marie
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
NDP
GPC
BQ
Odds of winning | Laurier–Sainte-Marie
LPC 95%
CPC <1%
NDP 4%
GPC <1%
BQ <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
BQ
Recent electoral history | Laurier–Sainte-Marie
2015
2019
2021
Proj.
LPC
23.7%
41.8%
37.91%
41% ± 7%
NDP
38.3%
25.2%
32.89%
31% ± 7%
BQ
28.7%
22.8%
20.42%
20% ± 6%
CPC
4.1%
2.8%
3.32%
2% ± 2%
GPC
3.5%
6.0%
2.25%
5% ± 4%
PPC
0.0%
0.6%
1.7%
1% ± 1%