338Canada | Laurier–Sainte-Marie (Québec federal district)




24039 - Laurier–Sainte-Marie

Province: Québec
Population (2016): 111,835 residents
Population density: 10753 pop./km² (rank: 3 of 338)
Median household income: $45 225 (rank: 335 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Steven Guilbeault (LPC)



Latest projection (August 1, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Laurier–Sainte-Marie

Last update: August 1, 2021








Odds of winning | Laurier–Sainte-Marie

Last update: August 1, 2021







Electoral history of Laurier–Sainte-Marie



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Map of Laurier–Sainte-Marie




(Credits: Elections Canada)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Laurier–Sainte-Marie



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Laurier–Sainte-Marie


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
33.4% ± 8.2% 41.8% Outside confidence interval
22.5% ± 7.1% 25.2% Within confidence interval
32.3% ± 8.8% 22.8% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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