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Canada

Calgary Signal Hill


MP: David McKenzie (CPC)

Latest projection: July 6, 2025
CPC likely

Recent electoral history | Calgary Signal Hill


2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 56% ± 8% 70.2% 59.8% 60.1% LPC 41% ± 8% 16.0% 19.4% 36.4% NDP 3% ± 2% 8.0% 14.1% 2.4% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.6% 4.0% 0.7% GPC 0% ± 0% 3.1% 1.7% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.




338Canada projection for Calgary Signal Hill


Calgary Signal Hill 56% ± 8% CPC 41% ± 8%▲ LPC 3% ± 2% NDP CPC 2025 60.1% 338Canada vote projection | July 6, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary Signal Hill 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | July 6, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Calgary Signal Hill

LPC 41% ± 8% CPC 56% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Calgary Signal Hill 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC July 6, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 64% LPC 15% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 65% LPC 16% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 64% LPC 16% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 64% LPC 17% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 63% LPC 18% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 63% LPC 18% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 64% LPC 19% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 60% LPC 22% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 59% LPC 22% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 55% LPC 28% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 52% LPC 34% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 51% LPC 35% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 51% LPC 35% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 51% LPC 35% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 51% LPC 35% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 52% LPC 34% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 52% LPC 35% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 52% LPC 34% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 52% LPC 35% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 53% LPC 34% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 53% LPC 35% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 53% LPC 35% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 54% LPC 34% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 54% LPC 35% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 54% LPC 35% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 54% LPC 36% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 54% LPC 36% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 54% LPC 36% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 54% LPC 36% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 55% LPC 36% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 55% LPC 37% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 54% LPC 37% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 53% LPC 37% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 53% LPC 38% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 52% LPC 38% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 52% LPC 38% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 52% LPC 38% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 53% LPC 39% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 53% LPC 39% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 53% LPC 39% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 53% LPC 39% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 53% LPC 39% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 54% LPC 38% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 54% LPC 38% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 54% LPC 38% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 53% LPC 39% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 53% LPC 39% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 53% LPC 39% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 53% LPC 39% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 53% LPC 39% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 52% LPC 40% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 60% LPC 36% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 60% LPC 36% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 60% LPC 36% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 60% LPC 36% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 60% LPC 36% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 60% LPC 36% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 60% LPC 37% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 58% LPC 38% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 56% LPC 40% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 56% LPC 41% 2025-07-06 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Calgary Signal Hill

LPC 1% CPC 99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 6, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader