338Canada | Hull–Aylmer (Québec federal district)





24030 - Hull–Aylmer

Province: Québec
Population (2016): 105,420 residents
Population density: 1697 pop./km² (rank: 100 of 338)
Median household income: $62 668 (rank: 228 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Greg Fergus (LPC)



Latest projection (November 28, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Hull–Aylmer

Last update: November 28, 2021






Odds of winning | Hull–Aylmer

Last update: November 28, 2021










Electoral history of Hull–Aylmer



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Hull–Aylmer



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Hull–Aylmer


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
48.2% ± 7.2% 52.5% Within confidence interval
13.5% ± 4.5% 16.1% Within confidence interval
17.6% ± 4.6% 12.7% Outside confidence interval
10.1% ± 3.9% 10.8% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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