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Canada

Jonquière



Latest projection: January 19, 2025
BQ likely
Jonquière 47% ± 8%▼ BQ 33% ± 8%▲ CPC 11% ± 5%▲ LPC 6% ± 4% NDP 3% ± 3% GPC BQ 2021 43.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 19, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Jonquière 99% BQ 1% CPC <1% LPC Odds of winning | January 19, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Recent electoral history | Jonquière



2019 2021 Proj. BQ 36.8% 43.1% 47% ± 8% CPC 21.1% 28.3% 33% ± 8% LPC 16.8% 20.8% 11% ± 5% NDP 22.5% 5.4% 6% ± 4% GPC 2.0% 1.7% 3% ± 3% PPC 0.9% 0.0% 0% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.