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Canada


Hull–Aylmer (federal)


MP: Greg Fergus (LPC)


Latest projection: January 29, 2023

LPC safe hold
Hull–Aylmer 49% ± 8% LPC 17% ± 5% NDP 14% ± 5% BQ 12% ± 4% CPC 6% ± 4% GPC 2% ± 2% PPC LPC 2021 52.49% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 29, 2023
50% 100% Hull–Aylmer >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% BQ Odds of winning | January 29, 2023


Popular vote projection | Hull–Aylmer

LPC 49% ± 8% CPC 12% ± 4% NDP 17% ± 5% GPC 6% ± 4% BQ 14% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Hull–Aylmer 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Odds of winning | Hull–Aylmer

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Hull–Aylmer



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 51.4% 54.1% 52.49% 49% ± 8% BQ 6.5% 14.6% 16.12% 14% ± 5% NDP 31.5% 13.6% 12.66% 17% ± 5% CPC 7.7% 9.1% 10.76% 12% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.2% 3.66% 2% ± 2% GPC 1.9% 7.0% 2.85% 6% ± 4%