338Canada | Kingston and the Islands (Ontario federal district)




35044 - Kingston and the Islands

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 117,540 residents
Population density: 330 pop./km² (rank: 170 of 338)
Median household income: $66 346 (rank: 206 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Mark Gerretsen (LPC)



Latest projection (October 24, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Kingston and the Islands

Last update: October 24, 2021







Odds of winning | Kingston and the Islands

Last update: October 24, 2021






Electoral history of Kingston and the Islands



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Kingston and the Islands



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Kingston and the Islands


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
41.2% ± 6.7% 41.3% Within confidence interval
25.9% ± 5.6% 29.3% Within confidence interval
18.6% ± 4.6% 23.5% Outside confidence interval
9.0% ± 4.0% 3.4% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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