338Canada | Thunder Bay–Rainy River (Ontario federal district)




35105 - Thunder Bay–Rainy River

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 82,805 residents
Population density: 2.53 pop./km² (rank: 306 of 338)
Median household income: $67 196 (rank: 199 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Marcus Powlowski (LPC)



Latest projection (July 25, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Thunder Bay–Rainy River

Last update: July 25, 2021








Odds of winning | Thunder Bay–Rainy River

Last update: July 25, 2021







Electoral history of Thunder Bay–Rainy River



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Map of Thunder Bay–Rainy River




(Credits: Elections Canada)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Thunder Bay–Rainy River



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Thunder Bay–Rainy River


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Incorrect winner, but within confidence interval
33.3% ± 8.5% 35.3% Within confidence interval
18.1% ± 6.1% 29.3% Outside confidence interval
34.2% ± 9.0% 29.1% Within confidence interval
12.6% ± 4.9% 4.5% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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