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Recent electoral history | Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park


2019 2021 2025 Projection LPC 52% ± 7% 47.6% 42.8% 55.8% NDP 30% ± 7% 31.2% 38.4% 23.0% CPC 14% ± 4% 13.3% 13.3% 19.4% PPC 0% ± 1% 1.1% 3.2% 0.0%

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338Canada Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park projection

Latest update: March 8, 2026

Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park 45% 59% 52% ± 7% LPC 23% 37% 30% ± 7% NDP 9% 18% 14% ± 4% CPC LPC 2025 55.8% 338Canada vote projection | March 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC Odds of winning | March 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park

LPC 52% ± 7% CPC 14% ± 4% NDP 30% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC IND March 8, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 52% NDP 26% CPC 18% GPC 2% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 52% NDP 26% CPC 19% GPC 2% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 53% NDP 24% CPC 19% GPC 2% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 56% NDP 23% CPC 20% GPC 1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 56% NDP 23% CPC 20% GPC 1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 56% NDP 23% CPC 20% GPC 1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 56% NDP 23% CPC 19% GPC 1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 56% NDP 23% CPC 19% GPC 1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 56% NDP 23% CPC 19% GPC 1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 56% NDP 24% CPC 19% GPC 1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 56% NDP 24% CPC 18% GPC 1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 55% NDP 25% CPC 18% GPC 1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 54% NDP 26% CPC 18% GPC 1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC 54% NDP 26% CPC 18% GPC 1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC 54% NDP 26% CPC 17% GPC 1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC 54% NDP 27% CPC 17% GPC 1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC 53% NDP 28% CPC 17% GPC 1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC 53% NDP 28% CPC 17% GPC 1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC 53% NDP 29% CPC 17% GPC 1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC 52% NDP 29% CPC 17% GPC 1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC 51% NDP 29% CPC 17% GPC 1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC 50% NDP 30% CPC 17% GPC 1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC 50% NDP 31% CPC 17% GPC 1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC 49% NDP 31% CPC 17% GPC 1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 LPC 48% NDP 32% CPC 18% GPC 1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 LPC 48% NDP 32% CPC 18% GPC 1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 LPC 48% NDP 32% CPC 17% GPC 1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 LPC 48% NDP 32% CPC 18% GPC 1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC 48% NDP 32% CPC 17% GPC 1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC 48% NDP 32% CPC 17% GPC 1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC 48% NDP 33% CPC 17% GPC 1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC 47% NDP 33% CPC 17% GPC 1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 LPC 47% NDP 33% CPC 17% GPC 1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 LPC 47% NDP 33% CPC 17% GPC 1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 LPC 48% NDP 33% CPC 16% GPC 1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 LPC 47% NDP 34% CPC 16% GPC 1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 LPC 46% NDP 35% CPC 16% GPC 1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 LPC 43% NDP 37% CPC 16% GPC 3% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 LPC 43% NDP 37% CPC 16% GPC 3% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 LPC 42% NDP 37% CPC 16% GPC 3% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 LPC 42% NDP 37% CPC 16% GPC 3% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 LPC 43% NDP 36% CPC 16% GPC 3% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 LPC 48% NDP 32% CPC 16% GPC 3% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 LPC 49% NDP 31% CPC 17% GPC 2% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 LPC 50% NDP 30% CPC 16% GPC 2% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 LPC 51% NDP 30% CPC 15% GPC 2% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 LPC 52% NDP 31% CPC 14% GPC 2% 2026-03-01 2026-03-08 LPC 52% NDP 30% CPC 14% GPC 2% 2026-03-08

Odds of winning | Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP March 8, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 LPC 99% NDP 1% CPC <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 LPC 99% NDP 1% CPC <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 LPC 99% NDP 1% CPC <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 LPC 99% NDP 1% CPC <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 LPC 98% NDP 2% CPC <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 LPC 97% NDP 3% CPC <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 LPC 82% NDP 18% CPC <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 LPC 81% NDP 19% CPC <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 LPC 77% NDP 23% CPC <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 LPC 78% NDP 22% CPC <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 LPC 87% NDP 13% CPC <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-03-01 2026-03-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2026-03-08


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Demographic data | Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 84.5% English 1.4% Spanish 1.3% Tibetan 1.3% Portuguese 1.2% Polish 1.0% Vietnamese 0.9% FrenchTaiaiako’n—Parkdale—High ParkSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 6.1% No diploma 16.0% High school 2.9% Trade 15.8% College / Cégep 2.4% Some university 34.5% Bachelor's 22.4% PostgraduateTaiaiako’n—Parkdale—High ParkSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 68.9% Not visible minority 31.1% Visible minority 6.5% Black 5.4% South Asian 4.1% Chinese 3.0% Latin American 2.9% Filipino 2.3% Southeast AsianTaiaiako’n—Parkdale—High ParkSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 44.3% No Religion 24.9% Catholic 5.4% Christian (n.o.s.) 3.9% Orthodox 3.7% Buddhist 3.2% Muslim 2.7% Anglican 2.4% United ChurchTaiaiako’n—Parkdale—High ParkSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 55.0% Renter 45.0% OwnerTaiaiako’n—Parkdale—High ParkSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 60.9% Employed 30.0% Not in labour force 9.1% UnemployedTaiaiako’n—Parkdale—High ParkSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 98.8% Non-Indigenous 1.2% Indigenous identity 0.7% First Nations 0.4% MetisTaiaiako’n—Parkdale—High ParkSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 48.6% Car / truck / van 30.9% Public transit 10.8% Walking 5.7% Bicycle 4.1% OtherTaiaiako’n—Parkdale—High ParkSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.