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Canada


Thunder Bay–Rainy River (federal)


MP: Marcus Powlowski (LPC)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

Toss up LPC/CPC
Thunder Bay–Rainy River 34% ± 7% CPC 32% ± 7% LPC 27% ± 7% NDP 4% ± 3% PPC 3% ± 3% GPC LPC 2021 34.24% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Thunder Bay–Rainy River 62% CPC 34% LPC 4% NDP Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Thunder Bay–Rainy River

LPC 32% ± 7% CPC 34% ± 7% NDP 27% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Thunder Bay–Rainy River 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Thunder Bay–Rainy River

LPC 34% CPC 62% NDP 4% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Thunder Bay–Rainy River



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 44.0% 35.3% 34.24% 32% ± 7% CPC 21.1% 29.3% 29.26% 34% ± 7% NDP 29.7% 29.1% 28.46% 27% ± 7% PPC 0.0% 1.8% 6.61% 4% ± 3% GPC 5.2% 4.5% 1.43% 3% ± 3% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%