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Canada

Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park


MP elect: Karim Bardeesy (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park


Liberal Karim Bardeesy
Conservative Wladyslaw Lizon
NDP Bhutila Karpoche
Green Anna Gorka
Marxist-Leninist Lorne Gershuny
Communist Rimmy Riarh
Animal Protection Edward Fraser
Marijuana Terry Parker

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park 56% ± 6% LPC 23% ± 5% NDP 19% ± 5%▼ CPC LPC 2025 55.8% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park

LPC 56% ± 6% CPC 19% ± 5% NDP 23% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 NDP 41% LPC 30% CPC 23% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 NDP 39% LPC 32% CPC 23% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 NDP 39% LPC 32% CPC 23% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 NDP 37% LPC 35% CPC 22% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 39% NDP 34% CPC 21% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 44% NDP 30% CPC 20% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 47% NDP 27% CPC 20% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 48% NDP 26% CPC 19% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 48% NDP 27% CPC 20% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 50% NDP 25% CPC 19% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 53% NDP 23% CPC 19% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 53% NDP 23% CPC 18% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 54% NDP 23% CPC 18% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 54% NDP 23% CPC 18% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 54% NDP 23% CPC 18% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 54% NDP 23% CPC 18% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 57% NDP 19% CPC 18% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 57% NDP 19% CPC 18% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 58% NDP 19% CPC 18% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 59% CPC 18% NDP 18% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 60% CPC 18% NDP 17% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 60% CPC 18% NDP 17% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 60% CPC 19% NDP 17% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 62% CPC 19% NDP 16% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 63% CPC 19% NDP 15% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 63% CPC 18% NDP 16% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 63% CPC 18% NDP 16% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 63% CPC 18% NDP 15% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 63% CPC 18% NDP 16% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 63% CPC 19% NDP 16% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 63% CPC 19% NDP 15% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 63% CPC 18% NDP 16% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 63% CPC 18% NDP 16% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 63% CPC 18% NDP 16% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 63% CPC 18% NDP 16% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 63% CPC 18% NDP 15% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 63% CPC 18% NDP 16% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 63% CPC 18% NDP 16% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 63% CPC 18% NDP 16% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 63% CPC 18% NDP 16% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 62% CPC 18% NDP 15% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 60% CPC 18% NDP 18% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 59% CPC 19% NDP 19% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 58% NDP 20% CPC 18% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 56% NDP 22% CPC 18% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 54% NDP 24% CPC 18% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 53% NDP 25% CPC 18% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 52% NDP 26% CPC 18% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 52% NDP 26% CPC 18% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 52% NDP 26% CPC 19% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 53% NDP 24% CPC 19% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 56% NDP 23% CPC 20% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 56% NDP 23% CPC 20% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 56% NDP 23% CPC 20% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 56% NDP 23% CPC 19% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 NDP 97% LPC 3% CPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 NDP 89% LPC 11% CPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 NDP 86% LPC 14% CPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 NDP 60% LPC 40% CPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 78% NDP 22% CPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 99% NDP 1% CPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Taiaiako’n—Parkdale—High Park



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 56% ± 6% 47.6% 42.8% 55.8% NDP 23% ± 5% 31.2% 38.4% 23.0% CPC 19% ± 5% 13.3% 13.3% 19.4% GPC 1% ± 1% 6.4% 1.9% 1.1% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% PPC 0% ± 0% 1.1% 3.2% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.