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Canada

Sherbrooke



Latest projection: December 15, 2024
BQ likely
Sherbrooke 33% ± 7% BQ 26% ± 6% LPC 17% ± 5% CPC 16% ± 5% NDP 5% ± 4% GPC LPC 2021 37.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Sherbrooke 94% BQ 6% LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | December 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Sherbrooke

LPC 26% ± 6% CPC 17% ± 5% NDP 16% ± 5% GPC 5% ± 4% BQ 33% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Sherbrooke 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 BQ 32% LPC 29% CPC 18% NDP 14% GPC 5% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 BQ 34% LPC 28% CPC 17% NDP 14% GPC 5% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 BQ 33% LPC 29% CPC 16% NDP 14% GPC 5% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 BQ 31% LPC 29% CPC 18% NDP 14% GPC 5% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 BQ 30% LPC 30% CPC 18% NDP 14% GPC 5% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 30% BQ 30% CPC 18% NDP 14% GPC 5% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 BQ 32% LPC 28% CPC 18% NDP 15% GPC 5% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 BQ 32% LPC 27% CPC 17% NDP 14% GPC 5% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 BQ 32% LPC 28% CPC 17% NDP 14% GPC 5% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 BQ 32% LPC 28% CPC 17% NDP 14% GPC 5% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 BQ 32% LPC 28% CPC 17% NDP 14% GPC 5% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 BQ 32% LPC 28% CPC 17% NDP 14% GPC 5% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 BQ 32% LPC 29% CPC 16% NDP 14% GPC 5% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 BQ 31% LPC 30% CPC 16% NDP 14% GPC 5% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 BQ 31% LPC 29% CPC 17% NDP 14% GPC 5% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 BQ 30% LPC 30% CPC 17% NDP 14% GPC 5% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC 31% BQ 29% CPC 17% NDP 14% GPC 5% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 BQ 30% LPC 30% CPC 16% NDP 15% GPC 5% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 BQ 31% LPC 29% CPC 16% NDP 15% GPC 5% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 BQ 31% LPC 29% CPC 16% NDP 15% GPC 5% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 BQ 31% LPC 28% CPC 17% NDP 15% GPC 5% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 BQ 31% LPC 28% CPC 16% NDP 16% GPC 5% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 BQ 31% LPC 28% CPC 16% NDP 16% GPC 5% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 BQ 32% LPC 29% CPC 16% NDP 15% GPC 5% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 BQ 32% LPC 29% CPC 15% NDP 15% GPC 5% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 BQ 32% LPC 29% CPC 16% NDP 15% GPC 5% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 BQ 33% LPC 28% CPC 16% NDP 15% GPC 5% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 BQ 32% LPC 28% CPC 16% NDP 15% GPC 5% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 BQ 33% LPC 27% CPC 17% NDP 15% GPC 5% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 BQ 32% LPC 27% CPC 17% NDP 15% GPC 5% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 BQ 33% LPC 26% CPC 17% NDP 16% GPC 5% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 BQ 33% LPC 26% CPC 17% NDP 16% GPC 5% 2024-12-15

Odds of winning | Sherbrooke

LPC 6% NDP <1% BQ 94% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC NDP BQ December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 BQ 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 BQ 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 BQ 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 BQ 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 BQ 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 52% BQ 48% NDP <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 BQ 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 BQ 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 BQ 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 BQ 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 BQ 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 BQ 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 BQ 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 BQ 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 BQ 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 BQ 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC 62% BQ 38% NDP <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 BQ 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 BQ 63% LPC 37% NDP <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 BQ 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 BQ 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 BQ 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 BQ 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 BQ 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 BQ 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 BQ 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 BQ 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 BQ 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 BQ 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 BQ 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 BQ 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 BQ 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2024-12-15

Recent electoral history | Sherbrooke



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 29.3% 37.5% 26% ± 6% BQ 26.0% 29.0% 33% ± 7% NDP 28.3% 13.9% 16% ± 5% CPC 10.6% 12.8% 17% ± 5% GPC 4.5% 2.9% 5% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 2.5% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.