338Canada | Churchill–Keewatinook Aski (Manitoba federal district)




46003 - Churchill–Keewatinook Aski

Province: Manitoba
Population (2016): 87,025 residents
Population density: 0.2 pop./km² (rank: 333 of 338)
Median household income: $59 721 (rank: 259 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Niki Ashton (NDP)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Churchill–Keewatinook Aski


Shirley Robinson
Charlotte Larocque
Niki Ashton
Ralph McLean
Dylan Young





Federal vote projection | Churchill–Keewatinook Aski

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Churchill–Keewatinook Aski

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Churchill–Keewatinook Aski



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Churchill–Keewatinook Aski



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Churchill–Keewatinook Aski


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
44.1% ± 10.0% 50.3% Within confidence interval
30.2% ± 8.6% 23.7% Within confidence interval
20.5% ± 6.9% 19.9% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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