338Canada | Churchill–Keewatinook Aski (Manitoba federal district)





46003 - Churchill–Keewatinook Aski

Province: Manitoba
Population (2016): 87,025 residents
Population density: 0.2 pop./km² (rank: 333 of 338)
Median household income: $59 721 (rank: 259 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Niki Ashton (NDP)



Latest projection (January 23, 2022)

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Federal vote projection | Churchill–Keewatinook Aski

Last update: January 23, 2022






Odds of winning | Churchill–Keewatinook Aski

Last update: January 23, 2022









Electoral history of Churchill–Keewatinook Aski



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Churchill–Keewatinook Aski



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Churchill–Keewatinook Aski


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
45.1% ± 7.6% 42.6% Within confidence interval
29.6% ± 6.8% 25.2% Within confidence interval
14.3% ± 4.8% 24.1% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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