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Canada

Vancouver East


MP elect: Jenny Kwan (NDP)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
NDP likely

Candidates | Vancouver East


Liberal Mark Wiens
Conservative Lita Cabal
NDP Jenny Kwan*
Green Nikida Steel
PPC Meghan Emily Murphy
Rhinoceros Derek Macdonald
Communist Kimball Cariou

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Vancouver East 44% ± 6% NDP 36% ± 6% LPC 18% ± 4% CPC NDP 2025 43.6% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver East 95%▼ NDP 5%▲ LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Vancouver East

LPC 36% ± 6% CPC 18% ± 4% NDP 44% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Vancouver East 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 NDP 52% CPC 22% LPC 13% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 NDP 51% CPC 23% LPC 14% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 NDP 51% CPC 22% LPC 15% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 NDP 50% CPC 22% LPC 16% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 NDP 47% CPC 22% LPC 19% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 NDP 46% LPC 21% CPC 21% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 NDP 44% LPC 23% CPC 20% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 NDP 45% LPC 24% CPC 18% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 NDP 44% LPC 25% CPC 18% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP 44% LPC 26% CPC 18% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 NDP 39% LPC 32% CPC 19% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 NDP 39% LPC 32% CPC 19% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 39% LPC 32% CPC 19% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 NDP 38% LPC 33% CPC 19% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 NDP 38% LPC 33% CPC 19% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 38% LPC 34% CPC 19% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 NDP 38% LPC 34% CPC 18% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 NDP 38% LPC 35% CPC 18% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 NDP 37% LPC 35% CPC 18% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 NDP 38% LPC 35% CPC 18% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 NDP 38% LPC 35% CPC 18% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 NDP 38% LPC 36% CPC 18% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 NDP 37% LPC 36% CPC 18% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 17% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 NDP 39% LPC 38% CPC 17% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 NDP 38% LPC 38% CPC 17% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 NDP 38% LPC 38% CPC 17% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 NDP 38% LPC 38% CPC 17% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 NDP 40% LPC 37% CPC 17% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 NDP 39% LPC 37% CPC 17% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 NDP 39% LPC 38% CPC 18% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 20% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 NDP 38% LPC 36% CPC 20% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 NDP 40% LPC 35% CPC 19% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 NDP 40% LPC 35% CPC 19% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 NDP 40% LPC 35% CPC 19% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 NDP 40% LPC 35% CPC 19% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 NDP 42% LPC 33% CPC 19% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 NDP 42% LPC 34% CPC 19% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 NDP 41% LPC 34% CPC 19% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 NDP 42% LPC 34% CPC 18% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 NDP 42% LPC 34% CPC 19% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 NDP 41% LPC 34% CPC 19% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 NDP 41% LPC 34% CPC 19% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 NDP 40% LPC 35% CPC 19% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 NDP 40% LPC 35% CPC 19% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 NDP 39% LPC 36% CPC 19% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 NDP 38% LPC 36% CPC 20% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 20% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 20% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 38% LPC 36% CPC 20% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 NDP 44% LPC 36% CPC 18% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 NDP 44% LPC 36% CPC 18% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 NDP 44% LPC 36% CPC 18% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 NDP 44% LPC 36% CPC 18% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Vancouver East

LPC 5% CPC <1% NDP 95% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 NDP 89% LPC 11% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 NDP 87% LPC 13% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 86% LPC 14% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 NDP 83% LPC 17% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 NDP 80% LPC 20% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 75% LPC 25% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 NDP 71% LPC 29% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 NDP 68% LPC 32% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 NDP 66% LPC 34% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 NDP 70% LPC 30% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 NDP 64% LPC 36% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 NDP 62% LPC 38% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 NDP 60% LPC 40% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 NDP 60% LPC 40% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 NDP 58% LPC 42% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 NDP 51% LPC 49% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 NDP 51% LPC 49% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 NDP 51% LPC 49% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 NDP 69% LPC 31% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 NDP 64% LPC 36% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 NDP 55% LPC 45% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 NDP 59% LPC 41% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 NDP 62% LPC 38% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 NDP 79% LPC 21% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 NDP 79% LPC 21% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 NDP 79% LPC 21% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 NDP 82% LPC 18% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 NDP 91% LPC 9% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 NDP 89% LPC 11% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 NDP 87% LPC 13% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 NDP 90% LPC 10% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 NDP 88% LPC 12% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 NDP 87% LPC 13% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 NDP 83% LPC 17% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 NDP 81% LPC 19% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 NDP 75% LPC 25% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 NDP 68% LPC 32% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 NDP 64% LPC 36% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 NDP 59% LPC 41% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 NDP 55% LPC 45% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 59% LPC 41% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 NDP 98% LPC 2% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 NDP 98% LPC 2% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 NDP 96% LPC 4% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 NDP 95% LPC 5% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Vancouver East



2019 2021 2025 Proj. NDP 44% ± 6% 52.6% 56.4% 43.6% LPC 36% ± 6% 18.1% 19.8% 35.5% CPC 18% ± 4% 12.1% 10.9% 17.8% GPC 2% ± 2% 14.5% 7.7% 1.9% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.2% 2.8% 0.6%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.