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Canada

Vancouver East



Latest projection: November 17, 2024
NDP safe
Vancouver East 49% ± 8%▼ NDP 20% ± 6% CPC 16% ± 5%▲ LPC 10% ± 5%▲ GPC NDP 2021 56.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 17, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver East >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC Odds of winning | November 17, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Vancouver East

LPC 16% ± 5% CPC 20% ± 6% NDP 49% ± 8% GPC 10% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Vancouver East 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC November 17, 2024 2024-05-12 NDP 50% CPC 22% LPC 13% GPC 10% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 NDP 50% CPC 22% LPC 13% GPC 11% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 NDP 51% CPC 21% LPC 14% GPC 10% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 NDP 51% CPC 21% LPC 14% GPC 10% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 NDP 51% CPC 20% LPC 14% GPC 10% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 NDP 51% CPC 20% LPC 14% GPC 10% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP 53% CPC 19% LPC 14% GPC 9% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP 52% CPC 19% LPC 14% GPC 9% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP 52% CPC 19% LPC 14% GPC 10% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP 52% CPC 18% LPC 14% GPC 9% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP 52% CPC 18% LPC 14% GPC 10% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 NDP 52% CPC 18% LPC 14% GPC 10% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 NDP 53% CPC 18% LPC 14% GPC 9% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 NDP 52% CPC 19% LPC 14% GPC 9% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 NDP 53% CPC 18% LPC 14% GPC 9% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 NDP 52% CPC 18% LPC 14% GPC 9% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 NDP 50% CPC 19% LPC 15% GPC 10% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 NDP 50% CPC 19% LPC 15% GPC 10% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 NDP 48% CPC 20% LPC 16% GPC 10% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 NDP 48% CPC 20% LPC 17% GPC 10% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 NDP 49% CPC 20% LPC 16% GPC 9% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 NDP 51% CPC 20% LPC 14% GPC 9% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 NDP 51% CPC 20% LPC 14% GPC 9% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 NDP 51% CPC 19% LPC 15% GPC 9% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 NDP 51% CPC 19% LPC 15% GPC 10% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 NDP 51% CPC 19% LPC 15% GPC 10% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 NDP 50% CPC 20% LPC 15% GPC 9% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 NDP 49% CPC 20% LPC 16% GPC 10% 2024-11-17

Odds of winning | Vancouver East

LPC <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC NDP November 17, 2024 2024-05-12 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2024-11-17

Recent electoral history | Vancouver East



2019 2021 Proj. NDP 52.6% 56.4% 49% ± 8% LPC 18.1% 19.8% 16% ± 5% CPC 12.1% 10.9% 20% ± 6% GPC 14.5% 7.7% 10% ± 5% PPC 1.2% 2.8% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.