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Canada

Vancouver East



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
NDP likely

Candidates | Vancouver East


Liberal Mark Wiens
Conservative Lita Cabal
NDP Jenny Kwan*
Green Nikida Steel
PPC Meghan Murphy
Rhinoceros Derek Macdonald
Communist Kimball Cariou

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Vancouver East 42% ± 9%▲ NDP 33% ± 8%▼ LPC 19% ± 6% CPC 3% ± 3% GPC NDP 2021 56.4% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver East 90%▲ NDP 10%▼ LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Vancouver East

LPC 33% ± 8% CPC 19% ± 6% NDP 42% ± 9% GPC 3% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Vancouver East 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP GPC April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 NDP 44% LPC 25% CPC 18% GPC 9% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP 44% LPC 26% CPC 18% GPC 8% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 NDP 39% LPC 32% CPC 19% GPC 8% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 NDP 39% LPC 32% CPC 19% GPC 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 39% LPC 32% CPC 19% GPC 8% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 NDP 38% LPC 33% CPC 19% GPC 8% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 NDP 38% LPC 33% CPC 19% GPC 8% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 38% LPC 34% CPC 19% GPC 8% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 NDP 38% LPC 34% CPC 18% GPC 7% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 NDP 38% LPC 35% CPC 18% GPC 7% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 NDP 37% LPC 35% CPC 18% GPC 7% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 NDP 38% LPC 35% CPC 18% GPC 7% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 NDP 38% LPC 35% CPC 18% GPC 7% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 NDP 38% LPC 36% CPC 18% GPC 7% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 NDP 37% LPC 36% CPC 18% GPC 7% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 17% GPC 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 NDP 39% LPC 38% CPC 17% GPC 4% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 NDP 38% LPC 38% CPC 17% GPC 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 NDP 38% LPC 38% CPC 17% GPC 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 NDP 38% LPC 38% CPC 17% GPC 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 NDP 40% LPC 37% CPC 17% GPC 4% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 NDP 39% LPC 37% CPC 17% GPC 4% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 NDP 39% LPC 38% CPC 18% GPC 4% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 20% GPC 3% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 NDP 38% LPC 36% CPC 20% GPC 3% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 NDP 40% LPC 35% CPC 19% GPC 3% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 NDP 40% LPC 35% CPC 19% GPC 3% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 NDP 40% LPC 35% CPC 19% GPC 3% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 NDP 40% LPC 35% CPC 19% GPC 3% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 NDP 42% LPC 33% CPC 19% GPC 3% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Vancouver East

LPC 10% NDP 90% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP >99% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 NDP 89% LPC 11% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 NDP 87% LPC 13% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 86% LPC 14% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 NDP 83% LPC 17% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 NDP 80% LPC 20% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 75% LPC 25% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 NDP 71% LPC 29% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 NDP 68% LPC 32% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 NDP 66% LPC 34% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 NDP 70% LPC 30% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 NDP 64% LPC 36% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 NDP 62% LPC 38% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 NDP 60% LPC 40% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 NDP 60% LPC 40% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 NDP 58% LPC 42% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 NDP 51% LPC 49% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 NDP 51% LPC 49% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 NDP 51% LPC 49% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 NDP 69% LPC 31% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 NDP 64% LPC 36% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 NDP 55% LPC 45% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 NDP 59% LPC 41% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 NDP 62% LPC 38% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 NDP 79% LPC 21% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 NDP 79% LPC 21% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 NDP 79% LPC 21% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 NDP 82% LPC 18% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 NDP 90% LPC 10% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Vancouver East



2019 2021 Proj. NDP 52.6% 56.4% 42% ± 9% LPC 18.1% 19.8% 33% ± 8% CPC 12.1% 10.9% 19% ± 6% GPC 14.5% 7.7% 3% ± 3% PPC 1.2% 2.8% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.