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Recent electoral history | Vancouver East


2019 2021 2025 Projection NDP 40% ± 8% 52.6% 56.4% 43.6% LPC 40% ± 7% 18.1% 19.8% 35.5% CPC 16% ± 5% 12.1% 10.9% 17.8% GPC 3% ± 3% 14.5% 7.7% 1.9%

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338Canada Vancouver East projection

Latest update: March 1, 2026

Vancouver East 32% 48% 40% ± 8% NDP 33% 47% 40% ± 7% LPC 11% 20% 16% ± 5% CPC 1% 6% 3% ± 3% GPC NDP 2025 43.6% 338Canada vote projection | March 1, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver East 52%▼ NDP 48%▲ LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | March 1, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Vancouver East

LPC 40% ± 7% CPC 16% ± 5% NDP 40% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Vancouver East 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC IND March 1, 2026 2025-04-26 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 20% GPC 3% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 20% GPC 3% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 38% LPC 36% CPC 20% GPC 3% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 NDP 44% LPC 36% CPC 18% GPC 2% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 NDP 44% LPC 36% CPC 18% GPC 2% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 NDP 44% LPC 36% CPC 18% GPC 2% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 NDP 44% LPC 36% CPC 18% GPC 2% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 NDP 44% LPC 36% CPC 18% GPC 2% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 NDP 44% LPC 35% CPC 18% GPC 2% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 NDP 45% LPC 34% CPC 18% GPC 2% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 NDP 45% LPC 34% CPC 18% GPC 2% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 NDP 45% LPC 34% CPC 18% GPC 2% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 NDP 45% LPC 34% CPC 17% GPC 2% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 NDP 45% LPC 35% CPC 17% GPC 2% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 NDP 44% LPC 36% CPC 17% GPC 2% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 NDP 44% LPC 36% CPC 17% GPC 2% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 NDP 45% LPC 36% CPC 16% GPC 2% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 NDP 46% LPC 34% CPC 16% GPC 2% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 NDP 46% LPC 35% CPC 16% GPC 2% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 NDP 46% LPC 35% CPC 16% GPC 2% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 NDP 45% LPC 35% CPC 17% GPC 2% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 NDP 46% LPC 34% CPC 17% GPC 2% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 NDP 44% LPC 35% CPC 17% GPC 2% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 NDP 44% LPC 36% CPC 17% GPC 2% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 NDP 45% LPC 35% CPC 17% GPC 2% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 NDP 45% LPC 35% CPC 17% GPC 2% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 NDP 45% LPC 35% CPC 17% GPC 2% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 NDP 44% LPC 36% CPC 17% GPC 2% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 NDP 44% LPC 36% CPC 17% GPC 2% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 NDP 44% LPC 36% CPC 17% GPC 2% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 NDP 44% LPC 36% CPC 17% GPC 2% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 NDP 44% LPC 35% CPC 18% GPC 2% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 NDP 44% LPC 35% CPC 18% GPC 2% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 NDP 44% LPC 35% CPC 18% GPC 2% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 NDP 46% LPC 33% CPC 18% GPC 2% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 NDP 48% LPC 31% CPC 17% GPC 2% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 NDP 49% LPC 30% CPC 17% GPC 2% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 NDP 51% LPC 29% CPC 16% GPC 3% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 NDP 51% LPC 29% CPC 16% GPC 3% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 NDP 51% LPC 29% CPC 16% GPC 3% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 NDP 51% LPC 28% CPC 16% GPC 3% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 NDP 50% LPC 29% CPC 16% GPC 3% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 NDP 42% LPC 37% CPC 16% GPC 3% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 NDP 41% LPC 38% CPC 17% GPC 3% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 NDP 40% LPC 39% CPC 17% GPC 3% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 NDP 40% LPC 39% CPC 17% GPC 3% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 NDP 40% LPC 40% CPC 16% GPC 3% 2026-03-01

Odds of winning | Vancouver East

LPC 48% CPC <1% NDP 52% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP March 1, 2026 2025-04-26 NDP 59% LPC 41% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 NDP 55% LPC 45% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 59% LPC 41% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 NDP 98% LPC 2% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 NDP 98% LPC 2% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 NDP 96% LPC 4% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 NDP 95% LPC 5% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 NDP 89% LPC 11% CPC <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 NDP 91% LPC 9% CPC <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 NDP 94% LPC 6% CPC <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 NDP 95% LPC 5% CPC <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 NDP 94% LPC 6% CPC <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 NDP 95% LPC 5% CPC <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 NDP 92% LPC 8% CPC <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 NDP 90% LPC 10% CPC <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 NDP 88% LPC 12% CPC <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 NDP 90% LPC 10% CPC <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 NDP 96% LPC 4% CPC <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 NDP 95% LPC 5% CPC <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 NDP 95% LPC 5% CPC <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 NDP 94% LPC 6% CPC <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 NDP 96% LPC 4% CPC <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 NDP 92% LPC 8% CPC <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 NDP 90% LPC 10% CPC <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 NDP 94% LPC 6% CPC <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 NDP 95% LPC 5% CPC <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 NDP 93% LPC 7% CPC <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 NDP 92% LPC 8% CPC <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 NDP 90% LPC 10% CPC <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 NDP 91% LPC 9% CPC <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 NDP 92% LPC 8% CPC <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 NDP 92% LPC 8% CPC <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 NDP 93% LPC 7% CPC <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 NDP 92% LPC 8% CPC <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 NDP 98% LPC 2% CPC <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 NDP 81% LPC 19% CPC <1% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 NDP 68% LPC 32% CPC <1% 2026-02-08 2026-02-15 NDP 53% LPC 47% CPC <1% 2026-02-15 2026-02-22 NDP 53% LPC 47% CPC <1% 2026-02-22 2026-03-01 NDP 52% LPC 48% CPC <1% 2026-03-01


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Demographic data | Vancouver East

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 80.0% English 9.0% Cantonese 1.6% Vietnamese 1.4% Mandarin 1.4% Spanish 1.2% Tagalog 0.6% FrenchVancouver EastSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 7.8% No diploma 21.2% High school 5.5% Trade 16.1% College / Cégep 3.4% Some university 30.0% Bachelor's 16.0% PostgraduateVancouver EastSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 56.7% Not visible minority 43.3% Visible minority 20.0% Chinese 4.5% Filipino 3.6% Southeast Asian 3.4% South Asian 2.9% Latin American 2.4% MultipleVancouver EastSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 63.3% No Religion 13.8% Catholic 5.9% Christian (n.o.s.) 4.1% Buddhist 2.1% Muslim 1.5% Other Religions 1.3% Anglican 1.2% JewishVancouver EastSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 60.6% Renter 39.4% OwnerVancouver EastSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 63.8% Employed 29.3% Not in labour force 6.9% UnemployedVancouver EastSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 94.8% Non-Indigenous 5.2% Indigenous identity 3.8% First Nations 1.2% Metis 0.1% Others 0.1% MultipleVancouver EastSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 53.6% Car / truck / van 22.6% Public transit 12.4% Walking 8.6% Bicycle 2.8% OtherVancouver EastSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.