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Canada

Vancouver East


MP: Jenny Kwan (NDP)

Latest projection: July 6, 2025
NDP likely

Recent electoral history | Vancouver East


2019 2021 2025 Proj. NDP 45% ± 9% 52.6% 56.4% 43.6% LPC 34% ± 8% 18.1% 19.8% 35.5% CPC 17% ± 5% 12.1% 10.9% 17.8% GPC 2% ± 2% 14.5% 7.7% 1.9% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.2% 2.8% 0.6%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.




338Canada projection for Vancouver-Est


Vancouver East 45% ± 9% NDP 34% ± 8% LPC 17% ± 5%▼ CPC NDP 2025 43.6% 338Canada vote projection | July 6, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver East 95%▲ NDP 5%▼ LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | July 6, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Vancouver East

LPC 34% ± 8% CPC 17% ± 5% NDP 45% ± 9% Popular vote projection % | Vancouver East 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 6, 2025 2025-01-12 NDP 52% CPC 22% LPC 13% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 NDP 51% CPC 23% LPC 14% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 NDP 51% CPC 22% LPC 15% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 NDP 50% CPC 22% LPC 16% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 NDP 47% CPC 22% LPC 19% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 NDP 46% LPC 21% CPC 21% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 NDP 44% LPC 23% CPC 20% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 NDP 45% LPC 24% CPC 18% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 NDP 44% LPC 25% CPC 18% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP 44% LPC 26% CPC 18% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 NDP 39% LPC 32% CPC 19% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 NDP 39% LPC 32% CPC 19% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 39% LPC 32% CPC 19% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 NDP 38% LPC 33% CPC 19% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 NDP 38% LPC 33% CPC 19% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 38% LPC 34% CPC 19% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 NDP 38% LPC 34% CPC 18% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 NDP 38% LPC 35% CPC 18% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 NDP 37% LPC 35% CPC 18% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 NDP 38% LPC 35% CPC 18% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 NDP 38% LPC 35% CPC 18% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 NDP 38% LPC 36% CPC 18% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 NDP 37% LPC 36% CPC 18% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 17% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 NDP 39% LPC 38% CPC 17% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 NDP 38% LPC 38% CPC 17% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 NDP 38% LPC 38% CPC 17% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 NDP 38% LPC 38% CPC 17% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 NDP 40% LPC 37% CPC 17% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 NDP 39% LPC 37% CPC 17% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 NDP 39% LPC 38% CPC 18% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 20% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 NDP 38% LPC 36% CPC 20% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 NDP 40% LPC 35% CPC 19% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 NDP 40% LPC 35% CPC 19% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 NDP 40% LPC 35% CPC 19% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 NDP 40% LPC 35% CPC 19% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 NDP 42% LPC 33% CPC 19% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 NDP 42% LPC 34% CPC 19% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 NDP 41% LPC 34% CPC 19% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 NDP 42% LPC 34% CPC 18% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 NDP 42% LPC 34% CPC 19% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 NDP 41% LPC 34% CPC 19% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 NDP 41% LPC 34% CPC 19% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 NDP 40% LPC 35% CPC 19% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 NDP 40% LPC 35% CPC 19% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 NDP 39% LPC 36% CPC 19% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 NDP 38% LPC 36% CPC 20% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 20% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 NDP 38% LPC 37% CPC 20% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 38% LPC 36% CPC 20% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 NDP 44% LPC 36% CPC 18% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 NDP 44% LPC 36% CPC 18% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 NDP 44% LPC 36% CPC 18% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 NDP 44% LPC 36% CPC 18% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 NDP 44% LPC 36% CPC 18% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 NDP 44% LPC 35% CPC 18% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 NDP 45% LPC 34% CPC 18% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 NDP 45% LPC 34% CPC 18% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 NDP 45% LPC 34% CPC 18% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 NDP 45% LPC 34% CPC 17% 2025-07-06 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Vancouver East

LPC 5% CPC <1% NDP 95% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 6, 2025 2025-01-12 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 NDP >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NDP >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 NDP 89% LPC 11% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 NDP 87% LPC 13% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 NDP 86% LPC 14% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 NDP 83% LPC 17% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 NDP 80% LPC 20% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 NDP 75% LPC 25% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 NDP 71% LPC 29% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 NDP 68% LPC 32% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 NDP 66% LPC 34% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 NDP 70% LPC 30% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 NDP 64% LPC 36% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 NDP 62% LPC 38% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 NDP 60% LPC 40% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 NDP 60% LPC 40% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 NDP 58% LPC 42% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 NDP 51% LPC 49% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 NDP 51% LPC 49% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 NDP 51% LPC 49% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 NDP 69% LPC 31% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 NDP 64% LPC 36% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 NDP 55% LPC 45% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 NDP 59% LPC 41% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 NDP 62% LPC 38% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 NDP 79% LPC 21% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 NDP 79% LPC 21% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 NDP 79% LPC 21% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 NDP 82% LPC 18% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 NDP 91% LPC 9% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 NDP 89% LPC 11% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 NDP 87% LPC 13% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 NDP 90% LPC 10% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 NDP 88% LPC 12% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 NDP 87% LPC 13% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 NDP 83% LPC 17% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 NDP 81% LPC 19% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 NDP 75% LPC 25% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 NDP 68% LPC 32% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 NDP 64% LPC 36% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 NDP 59% LPC 41% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 NDP 55% LPC 45% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 NDP 59% LPC 41% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 NDP 98% LPC 2% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 NDP 98% LPC 2% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 NDP 96% LPC 4% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 NDP 95% LPC 5% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 NDP 89% LPC 11% CPC <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 NDP 91% LPC 9% CPC <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 NDP 94% LPC 6% CPC <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 NDP 95% LPC 5% CPC <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 NDP 94% LPC 6% CPC <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 NDP 95% LPC 5% CPC <1% 2025-07-06 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader