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Canada

Brampton North—Caledon


MP elect: Ruby Sahota (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
Toss up LPC/CPC

Candidates | Brampton North—Caledon


Liberal Ruby Sahota*
Conservative Amandeep Judge
NDP Ruby Zaman
PPC Sat Anand

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Brampton North—Caledon 49% ± 7% LPC 47% ± 7%▼ CPC LPC 2025 49.0% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton North—Caledon 61%▲ LPC 39%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Brampton North—Caledon

LPC 49% ± 7% CPC 47% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Brampton North—Caledon 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 47% LPC 35% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 46% LPC 36% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 45% LPC 37% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 43% LPC 40% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 43% CPC 41% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 47% CPC 40% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 50% CPC 38% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 51% CPC 37% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 50% CPC 38% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 52% CPC 36% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 55% CPC 35% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 56% CPC 34% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 56% CPC 34% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 56% CPC 34% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 56% CPC 34% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 56% CPC 34% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 57% CPC 34% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 57% CPC 34% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 58% CPC 34% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 58% CPC 34% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 59% CPC 34% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 59% CPC 34% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 58% CPC 34% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 59% CPC 34% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 60% CPC 34% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 59% CPC 35% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 59% CPC 35% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 59% CPC 34% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 59% CPC 34% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 59% CPC 35% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 59% CPC 35% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 59% CPC 34% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 60% CPC 34% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 58% CPC 36% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 58% CPC 35% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 55% CPC 38% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 55% CPC 38% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 56% CPC 38% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 53% CPC 40% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 53% CPC 41% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 52% CPC 42% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 50% CPC 44% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 50% CPC 44% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 51% CPC 43% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 52% CPC 42% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 52% CPC 43% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 51% CPC 43% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 51% CPC 43% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 51% CPC 43% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 51% CPC 43% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 50% CPC 44% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 49% CPC 48% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 49% CPC 48% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 49% CPC 48% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 49% CPC 47% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Brampton North—Caledon

LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 89% CPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 79% CPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 79% CPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 83% CPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 88% CPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 88% CPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 85% CPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 85% CPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 85% CPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 85% CPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 79% CPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 60% CPC 40% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 59% CPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 59% CPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Brampton North—Caledon



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 49% ± 7% 49.2% 51.4% 49.0% CPC 47% ± 7% 29.2% 33.2% 47.4% NDP 2% ± 2% 17.6% 14.0% 2.2% PPC 1% ± 1% 0.9% 1.0% 1.4% GPC 0% ± 0% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.