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Canada

Brampton North—Caledon



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | Brampton North—Caledon


Liberal Ruby Sahota*
Conservative Amandeep Judge
NDP Ruby Zaman
PPC Sat Anand

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Brampton North—Caledon 56% ± 9%▲ LPC 38% ± 9% CPC 5% ± 4% NDP LPC 2021 51.4% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brampton North—Caledon 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Brampton North—Caledon

LPC 56% ± 9% CPC 38% ± 9% NDP 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Brampton North—Caledon 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 50% CPC 38% NDP 10% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 52% CPC 36% NDP 9% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 55% CPC 35% NDP 8% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 57% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 57% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 58% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 58% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 59% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 59% CPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 58% CPC 34% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 59% CPC 34% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 60% CPC 34% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 59% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 59% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 59% CPC 34% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 59% CPC 34% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 59% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 59% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 59% CPC 34% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 60% CPC 34% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 58% CPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 58% CPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 55% CPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 56% CPC 38% NDP 5% 2025-04-15 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Brampton North—Caledon

LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Brampton North—Caledon



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 49.2% 51.4% 56% ± 9% CPC 29.2% 33.2% 38% ± 9% NDP 17.6% 14.0% 5% ± 4% PPC 0.9% 1.0% 1% ± 1% GPC 3.0% 0.4% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.