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Canada


Nickel Belt (federal)


MP: Marc Serré (LPC)


Latest projection: February 25, 2024

CPC likely gain
Nickel Belt 36% ± 7% 29% ± 7% 24% ± 6% 6% ± 5% 5% ± 4% LPC 2021 34.86% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 25, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Nickel Belt 91% 9% <1% Odds of winning | February 25, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Nickel Belt

LPC 24% ± 6% CPC 36% ± 7% NDP 29% ± 7% GPC 5% ± 4% PPC 6% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Nickel Belt 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC

Odds of winning | Nickel Belt

LPC <1% CPC 91% NDP 9% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Nickel Belt



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 42.8% 39.0% 34.86% 24% ± 6% NDP 37.8% 32.1% 27.3% 29% ± 7% CPC 16.7% 21.2% 26.97% 36% ± 7% PPC 0.0% 2.4% 9.13% 6% ± 5% GPC 2.5% 5.4% 1.74% 5% ± 4%